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Poster: ming ding xiong
Subject: RE: Lets get serious for a minute: Cam Levins at the Olympics
Body:


Coach Owl Birdo wrote:

Top 5 is very do-able, but only off a slow pace.

Rupp will not allow a slow pace this time.

Rupp 5th. Levins 10th.
Tenth would be a monumental achievement for a runner of Levins' ability, and I don't want to deride him, but it's absurd to say that top 5 is "very do-able".

Going back to the last decade worth of championship 10ks, here are the fifth-place finishers:

2011 - Martin Mathathi
2009 - Bernard Kipyego
2008 - Zersenay Tadese
2007 - Josephat Ndambiri
2005 - Martin Mathathi
2004 - Haile Gebrselassie
2003 - John Korir

These athletes are no slouches. The 10,000 is a very competitive race at the championship level when you consider the six Kenyans and Ethiopians, as well as the Ugandans, Eritreans, Qataris and Bahrainians. Even for an athlete with a PB thirty seconds faster than Levins, a top 5 finish is not a lock.
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