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Subject: RE: The Kernyan OG Marathon Squad revealed
Body: I called it.
@running_comment wrote: I think that AK has been consistent in their statements that proven success in unpaced races is important for them. They know from long painful experience that the best time-trialist isn't always going to win a championship race.
For that reason, I think that KIRUI is in. Repeat WC is hard to ignore, and as I've mentioned before AK selectors have a habit of giving the nod to previous winners even without quick times - remember Eric Wainana. And Kirui has times, too.
I think that KIPSANG running courageously and taking the win against a stacked field (including many of the Kenyan shortlist as well as international comp) can't be denied a spot.
The last spot is tough. I would put it down to Mosop and Mutai - both ran ridiculous course-record marathons in spring and fall, 2011. Mosop at least put down a solid time in Rotterdam, while Mutai DNFd Boston. Also, I think that AK has had some mild clashes with AK over running in their camps, racing abroad, etc - my sense is that the selectors will be glad to be given an excuse to leave him of the team, and a DNF makes it easy (if wrong) for them to say he hasn't proven fitness. So I say MOSOP gets it.
SO, I'm calling KIRUI, KIPSANG, MOSOP for the team, and taking long odds predicting LEL as alternate. We'll see!
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