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Poster: Hypothetical...
Subject: RE: DIII Indoor Track and Field 2011
Body:


what i think wrote:

Ok so enough of these ethical arguments, let´s get some predictions going. Here´s what I got...

800 - I know Scheetz has been a beast, but I´m not sure he´s quite strong enough for the double, and I´m not sure he´s the best tactician either, so i think he just barely gets beat on this one by Hutton. Third is a crapshoot but I´m guessing its not gonna be someone who´s also doing the DMR.
1. Hutton
2. Scheetz
3. Willett

Mile - With a 4:04 and a 1:48 under his belt, its hard to see Scheetz losing this one. The field is good but no one else stands out as challenging him. McCarthy was a beast in XC and ran fast in december, but hasn´t been as impressive indoors this year. Sullivan got second outdoors last year in the 1500 and has a fast 8 this year, so i´ll give him second.
1. Scheetz
2. Sullivan
3. Brown

5000 - Nobody has come close to touching Sathre in D3 this year, and i think he´ll continue his undefeated streak. I don´t expect him to take it from the beginning like xc, but maybe make a big move with a mile to go that separates the field. Could see a lot of people coming in second and third. Schillit and Schmidt ran impressive times, but have yet to run at a super high level at nationals and fast track times from BU often dont turn into good nationals performances (ie Heymann last year). Breitbach looks to be coming back but might not quite be there. Kramer ran a 14:07 (unattached) in december but only 14:20 in a competiive race and 8:26 solo in february. I think the biggest challenge to Sathre will come from Nelson, whose two races have been big wins and were quite fast (8:15 and 14:20).
1. Sathre
2. Nelson
3. Kramer

DMR - The teams with the top two times, MIT and Bowdoin, have everyone fresh so on paper they´re definitely the favorites. More than any other race, however, qualifying times often mean little and a lot of times it just comes down to who has the best anchor. Hannon from MIT (with a 4:06 this year) has got to have the biggest upside and they´ve got a strong 800 leg to put them in a good position, so I´m calling them for the win. Anyone doubling from the mile will have a real tough time, so I don´t expect much from Wabash or Stevens Point. Middlebury could be strong, but I don´t think that whoever their anchor is is gonna win anything. I think Etown might surprise.
1. MIT
2. Bowdoin
3. Elizabethtown



Mile---McCarthy???
800---Waterman???
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