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the perfect storm
RE: Boston analysis
Dear Mr Canova,

First of all congratulations on Moses Mosop's performance. He ran a fantastic race and made a great debute. I watched it on television and the times the first two ran silenced me for a moment. An explanation was required.

I know you have a lot of fans believing your posts without doubt. I could be one of them but this time I think you should have started with the last lines you wrote:

quote Renato Canova:
"So, I really think that we don't have to wait too long time for looking at the first 2:02, also if it's difficult to have all the components favourable like in Boston this year."

"At least, everything has a logic explanation, and to do wrong analysis for justifying something out of the normality is an exercise that has the only effect to create limits in the mind of the athletes, and excuses for their poor performances." end quote

There are two words important in this: "favourable" and "logic".

If you had combined those two you would have the perfect explanation: "because the conditions were favourable the fast times are logical"

The field was strong but not exceptionally that justifies these times. Athletes that fell off the pace badly at 30k still managed to come home in 64-65. That never happens in any Major race. The question is not what makes Geoffrey Mutai and Moses Mosop strong. The question why all others managed to keep the pace up to decent levels explains more?

The race showed what 2:04-2:05 guys can do on the Boston course when conditions are favourable.


By the way: why do you put Geoffrey Mutai and Moses Mosop together? You really have no idea what Geoffrey is doing. He stays in Kapngtuny without a coach. Never comes to any track and trains with some other runners who have run between 2:06-2:11. You probably never saw any training of him. So how can you analyse his success. He is a 2:04 runner and he showed that again on Monday.

Your explanation about Turbo-diesels sounds logical but it's based on much less than the wind-claim who at least has some scientific and historical proof. As you know, the athletes of 1994 never came within 2 minutes of their personal best again. And in 2007 Cheruiyot and Kwambai only managed 2:14 into a headwind. The wind has been measured and can't be denied.

If I am wrong I'll come and apologise but at least till September/October/November of this year I call your explanation BS.

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