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Poster: rekrunner
Subject: RE: "Are we going to see the most unbelievable year for sprinting in the history of the sport?"
Body:

With all due respect, the ones who called you an idiot probably would have done so, with or without your prediction. The personal attacks likely have more to do with your past history, than this single prediction. That just gave them a reason, but any reason will do.

Your prediction was so bold, that few are prepared to give you partial credit. Lacing predictions with caveats, disclaimers, and conditions could make them more true, but boring. Interesting predictions requires a high probability of failure, with a slim possibility of success, just to maintain excitement. Bold predictions, per se, are not idiotic, but certainly a catalyst for lively debate.

I gathered from your more thoughtful critics, that even before the "tweet", the prevailing opinion was that he wouldn't even attempt the 5K record, because he would focus on the longer events, and therefore, wouldn't have the wheels to do it. Most of them agreed that a 10K record was likely. Bairu ran a great race, as did several others.


Skuj wrote:

Yes, wellnow. (I'm 333 for Bairu, after some tools told me I was an idiot for making ANY of those predictions on him, and I may very well be 666 by year's end. I accept however, that I won't be 1000....after his surprising (and disappointing) tweet about 5000m.)

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