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|Author: ||bmi overweight|
|Subject: ||RE: David Rudisha is given 4 years to get the US Olympic Trials 'A' Standard for every running event. Could he do it?|
Really interesting hypothetical - thanks for posting. Before answering, I do want to rant just a little bit on a pet peeve of mine that you brought up:
Team Analysis wrote:
My take: I don't think he'd quite be able to get it. The 100m and 200m are probably a bit quick for him, and there is not as much you can do to train these events. I predict he would get the 'B' standards, and maybe would run fast enough to qualify, but 10.07 is a pretty legit time.
I think there is just as much you can do to train a 100 as a 10k - why are top sprinters training their asses off if your statement is true? I understand the sentiment - some folks are really fast and others (e.g. Bill Rodgers) will NEVER break 10.5 no matter what. But consider a true short- sprinter e.g. Mo Greene; even if raised on a diet of soccer and then track like Cruz, this guy is never breaking 1:46 for 800m, and will never sniff 2:20:00 for the marathon. People pick (or their coaches choose) certain events to specialize in for a reason, not because some events are more trainable than others.
Ok, rant over, sorry! I agree, Rudisha could come close, but the 100m might prove impossible. I think your strategy is off, though. I think he would have to quit the (mid)distance training and get the sprints out of the way asap (like in the first two years) - if these don't happen first, they're not going to happen. Plus, age is more on your side for distance as compared to sprints. I wonder if a leaner-type decathlete could do this.
Some other thoughts I have are Ovett (who did sprints as a youth), Cruz, and Juantorena. Another interesting thing to think about is if any athlete could ever beat the A-standards of their era - it would be interesting to see what those standards were for the 1984 games, for example. In this case, you'd have someone like Cruz, who would give Rudisha a run for his money over 800m, but with (likely?) much slower 100m standards. If we made it relative for era, then I would image that Snell would be a lock, but again doing the distances in order from shortest to longest.
Obviously a huge 'what-if' but still fun to think about.
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