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|Author: ||the letter why|
|Subject: ||RE: 2008 DIII XC|
I looked at some past nationals results, and I think I'm going to defend my pick of Williams (who I feel has been HIGHLY underestimated on this thread).
Kosgey is very underrated and I have seen him in very few top-10 picks. However, Faller is better than last year, Kosgey has not lost to him and Faller was 18th last year. I put Kosgey around 10th, possibly a little higher.
Perlis and Christian are around 20 seconds behind him. Looking at the last 3 years' results, this would put them between 25-35.
Chaffee and Raduazo are about 15 seconds behind that, which is between 45-55.
That puts Williams between 150-190 points, which is a podium team any year.
*Actually, I forgot to take out individuals in this, so that gives me even more leeway here. Based just on 2005, they would average 10 scoring places or more faster. That's 100-140 or so, which is good for top 2 most years.
You can argue that I overestimated their guys, but I only picked them for 4th. I think they'll be a surprise to many, but shouldn't be after dominating NE regional.
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