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|Author: ||the letter why|
|Subject: ||RE: 2008 DIII XC|
I basing my analysis only on regional results, since I don't know enough about most teams to do much else. As a result, I'm sure that some team that underperformed at regionals will mess up my predictions.
I don't see any real contenders in the South/West/Central regions with Nebraska Wesleyan being the best of that group but too much of a spread behind someone who only finished 7th in his region.
Obviously Cortland in the Atlantic is great, NYU's spread looks a bit large for them to be contenders. Cortland looks really tough to beat, but there is some vulnerability after the first 3 that might allow them to be beaten by a team that maybe loses at positions 2-3 but wins at 4-5. Maybe.
Carnegie Mellon from the Mideast and Williams from the NE look like very similar teams. Slight advantage to Williams b/c I think Kosgey is better and they have a slightly tighter 2-4 spread.
Calvin also looks sick but with a 5th guy that far back at nationals they will score too many points to win it all.
MW- North Central are the favorites in my opinion. That's a disgusting 1-7 spread. LaCrosse is also really strong. Steven's Point's 3-5 are too far back to contend.
Not sure on this, but I think NE is underestimated. Faller was 6th at DI New Englands (Holtschulte was 3rd the year he won nationals), and is mixing it up with Kosgey, Norte, and a few others. I expect a greater than usual number of AA from NE.
Should be fun!
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