(sorta) Solo 3200m Time Trial.. Sub 10 Come May?

Likely? No. But... maybe? I mean, I wasn't there, so I can't be certain of actually how bad the conditions were, but it doesn't look great unless there was a ton of wind and you don't run well without other people. I mean, you know my training NWA, and I did have a bad race (felt terrible) in indoor where I ran 10:27 effectively solo, and I do think I can break 10:00 come outdoor, so just depending on how you peak it might happen. I personally don't notice a huge difference from base to peak, but this winter I did just mileage for November and December, started workouts in January, and dropped 20 seconds from the start of indoor to the end, so there is a chance, but its going to be hard. To be realistic, you'll probably end up at around 10:20, but hey, you never know!

I hope you prove me wrong!

With even splits, you might've run 10:30 instead of 10:43.

It's tough to go from 10:30 down to 9:59 in one season, but it does happen often enough. The usual reasons for that kind of jump in fitness are either growth spurts or a large increase in training. Have you gotten any taller the last few months? Are you ready to run 70mpw?

Thanks for being honest! I hope I can prove you wrong, haha. I forgot to mention, my TT 10 weeks ago was 11:21 so I've already improved quite a lot without racing really, and feel once I get to 50/60 degree weather, I'll speed up more and I'll be in better shape, so I'm hoping to at least be sub 10:20, but my big goal is sub 10 because I think it's possible with the mileage I put in this winter.

Also, the 3200m isn't my main event, I just want to put up a good time so I know myself that I have the endurance for xc this fall when I race 8ks. Also, I know if I'm strong aerobically, I'll do great in my main event (the 1600) so I want a good 3200 time.

Thanks again!

Quality 90s Guy wrote:

With even splits, you might've run 10:30 instead of 10:43.

It's tough to go from 10:30 down to 9:59 in one season, but it does happen often enough. The usual reasons for that kind of jump in fitness are either growth spurts or a large increase in training. Have you gotten any taller the last few months? Are you ready to run 70mpw?

I've grown about an inch (so not huge, haha) and I have been doing 60-75 mpw the last few weeks, so hoping it comes into greater effect later in the season.

Thanks for the even splits guess, I suck with that stuff!

No way. Sorry.

Hard but possible. You have three things in your advantage, running alone, major improvement already happening, and youth.

With even splits, you'd have run 10:30 probably. Someone to draft off of the whole way and chase gets you 10:25.

Now, do 800 and mile repeats at 5k pace and you'll be closer. Do work at 2M goal pace as well.

colorunner123 wrote:

No way. Sorry.

Will update with results if I do it.

zxcvzxcv wrote:

Hard but possible. You have three things in your advantage, running alone, major improvement already happening, and youth.

With even splits, you'd have run 10:30 probably. Someone to draft off of the whole way and chase gets you 10:25.

Now, do 800 and mile repeats at 5k pace and you'll be closer. Do work at 2M goal pace as well.

That's what I'm thinking. After thinking it over, I now know it's a longer shot, but I think it's possible. I plan on doing the faster stuff near the end of March/start of April, I have to peak end of May.

5:04-5:39 splits (died hard because it was very cold out, 30 degrees).

It's funny how many people think like this. You slowed down because you started too fast.

I do not care how good a shape you are in, race strategy is crucial.

You can drop below 10 minutes, perhaps even this year but you must learn how to pace

yourself. The next race find someone on your team who started out behind you in that race.

Follow him by about 15 yards or so during the first lap. Try to gradually improve your position

to him as the race moves on. You ran 10:43. The next race if the weather is halfway decent

you might aim for 10:33. Do it by running 5:16.5-5:16.5 = 10:33

I didn't mean to make it sound that way, haha. I know died because of pacing, shouldn't have said it like that, more like the cold aided it because I took off my warmups. Anyways, thanks for being serious and I'm definitely gonna plan my race strategy better next time, but I had no idea what I could run today or what pace to go or what pace it even felt like, it was a rust buster without any hard workouts.

Even splits get you around 10:29. Maybe sub 10:20 or faster in a race later in the season. sub 10:00 possible, but unlikely.