A little over 7 billion people in the world now. How many of them can run under these times?
A little over 7 billion people in the world now. How many of them can run under these times?
you couldn't hazard a guess from the 9 Billion previous posts on the subject?
PS , How fast you think Bo Jackson could run the mile run?
Time is on my side,Yes it is wrote:
A little over 7 billion people in the world now. How many of them can run under these times?
Less than .1% That's right, 99.9% of the people throughout the world cannot achieve those times. What I'm also saying is that only 7 million people maximum can achieve that goal right now. Almost all of the people that could achieve those two time goals would be male and between the ages of 15-25.
Let's narrow this down to males in their prime and still only 20% could go sub 30 and less than 5% go sub 60.
Sub 30 is miles easier than sub 60 and is in the realm of untrained men assuming they are otherwise fit from another sport (so not cardio untrained but untrained for running) and at a decent weight.
About 2% of the world population hit 30 and 0.05 hit sub 60.
I don't understand why you're including the sub 30 second 200m in this. No really, it makes absolutely not sense, because it is completely (obviously) redundant.
So assuming you are just saying 60 seconds in the 400, lets look at it like this.
Maybe you can get 1-2 girls, on average, in a moderate sized HS, that can run sub 60. In college, probably 40% of 100m-3000m females can break it. There might be a few very talented soccer players that can break 60. I think that would be about it, with a very tiny amount of other athletes sprinkled in. All in all, the number of women who can break 60 is likely under 40,000 people, maybe as low as 20,000.
So women: ~35,000 people +/- 10,000
With men, around 1/3 of a HS track team can break 60 (maybe less at some High Schools). Still in HS, there are definitely some soccer, football, and basketball players, along with a few athletes sprinkled around other sports, that can break 60 as well. Every single college track and soccer athlete can break 60 without any issue (and probably 90% of collegiate jumpers and pole vaulters), and many basketball, football, and even some hockey and baseball players as well. Maybe 50% of all professional athletes can break 60, regardless of their sport. Then there are likely 5-10% of people who play sports for fun, like play pick-up games of basketball, or are in a small soccer league, etc, that can break 60. I lived in South America for a couple years, and maybe 30% of 15-28 year olds were somewhat fit from all the soccer they played—maybe 10-15% of them could break 60 seconds in the 400. Of the non-athletes, who are aged 16-35, who are somewhat slim and go to a gym or other fitness program—perhaps 5-10% of all them—can break 60.
I would imagine that number is somewhere under 50 million, which would be >0.7% of the total population. I think that's accurate, somewhere under 1% of all the existing people on the planet are able to run sub 60 seconds in a 400. I mean just go walk anywhere and select the first 100 people you see—likely only zero to one of them can break 60 seconds. Cross culturally.
22,483,821
The Few, the Proud, the LRC High Achievers Team wrote:
Time is on my side,Yes it is wrote:
A little over 7 billion people in the world now. How many of them can run under these times?
Less than .1% That's right, 99.9% of the people throughout the world cannot achieve those times. What I'm also saying is that only 7 million people maximum can achieve that goal right now. Almost all of the people that could achieve those two time goals would be male and between the ages of 15-25.
Spot on - you're a smart cookie.
The 200 is basically an endurance event for an out of shape couch potato. Many could hold that pace for a few seconds but if they raced a 200 they would be dying in the second half.
Time is on my side,Yes it is wrote:
How many people out of over 7 billion can run a sub 30 second 200m and a sub 60 second 400m?
The EXACT same number who could run a sub 60 second 400m.
It could be possible that there are a couple of people who can't break 30 seconds in an open 200 hundred but can run say 31 for the first 200 and then close in 28.99 with the rolling start coming into the second 200.
Greenstem wrote:
It could be possible that there are a couple of people who can't break 30 seconds in an open 200 hundred but can run say 31 for the first 200 and then close in 28.99 with the rolling start coming into the second 200.
Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to this. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.
More than the number of humans who care..
Greenstem wrote:
It could be possible that there are a couple of people who can't break 30 seconds in an open 200 hundred but can run say 31 for the first 200 and then close in 28.99 with the rolling start coming into the second 200.
No, I don’t think so.
Most of the people who are capable of sub 30 are not also capable of sub 60, most with that sprint speed would cramp badly after 30 seconds and hobble their way to a 90 second lap.
I chuckled
When I was 37 and the slowest runner on our track club (about 60 members) I ran 27 seconds for 200 and 59 seconds for 400. I did have better leg speed than endurance, but I was by far the slowest. So I think you'd need to narrow the question to males between 15 and 40 to venture a realistic guess. If that were the question I would guess 5-10% Note: In 1983 track clubs consisted of fairly serious runners. Not necessarily talented, but serious. Everyone ran at least 50 miles a week. Our club had no elites. Our 10K pr's ranged from 30 minutes to 36 minutes. Running clubs these days seem more like social clubs. Yeah....just another old guy..."back when I was young..."
Pointless to ask the first part of that question, since everyone who can run 60 can run a 30
theJeff wrote:
Pointless to ask the first part of that question, since everyone who can run 60 can run a 30
You know what else is pointless? Repeating this when several other people have already said this in the thread. What a hypocrite.
theJeff wrote:
Pointless to ask the first part of that question, since everyone who can run 60 can run a 30
But not all that can run sub 30 for 200m can run sub 60 for the double distance.
otter wrote:
Greenstem wrote:
It could be possible that there are a couple of people who can't break 30 seconds in an open 200 hundred but can run say 31 for the first 200 and then close in 28.99 with the rolling start coming into the second 200.
No, I don’t think so.
Blade runner.