Who is going to win the men's individual title at NCAAxcs - Fisher, McDonald, Baxter, Day, Kurgat or Sugira?

Easily McDonald. Home course and super experienced. Had the world lead in the 5000m this past outdoor season for awhile. I will be shocked if he doesn’t end up 1st

Day, Baxter, and McDonald break away from everyone around the 6k mark.

Day and Baxter pull away from McDonald over the last 400m and this time Day has the extra gear/Baxter doesn't fight him that hard for the win.

NAU goes 1-2 and wins the meet handily.

Here are my guesses at their likelihoods of winning the individual title.

1. McDonald

2. Baxter / Day (tie)

3. Fisher

4. Kurgat

5. Sugira

McDonald is overrated, and so is the Fisher-O-Filet of the Day.

Burger King is going to win.

Does anyone wanna root for Carls Jr?

My guess wrote:

Day, Baxter, and McDonald break away from everyone around the 6k mark.

Day and Baxter pull away from McDonald over the last 400m and this time Day has the extra gear/Baxter doesn't fight him that hard for the win.

NAU goes 1-2 and wins the meet handily.

This would be a pretty incredible scenario. It is not likely that McDonald would be dropped by those two in the final quarter. I am very interested to see how this race unfolds and how NAU plays it. Who will dictate the pace? Fisher and McDonald certainly are aware and preparing for a scenario like last year where NAU pushes early so it is not likely either would just get flat out dropped.

If Tyler Day won, though, it would be a huge victory for 9:20 guys everywhere. I'd love to see it happen.

Klecker in my opinion

I'm giving the nod McDonald on this one. With it being his home course and his last xc race for UW, he's gonna have an emotional drive that the other contenders won't have. I think all of these guys will come down the final stretch together and it's gonna come down to a the sprint. I see fisher taking silver, while Day and Baxter duke it out for the bronze. I'll be interested to see how Suigira does, he did beat McDonald earlier this year at the Commonwealth 5k and have been told that he hadn't done a workout 3 weeks before Wisco and didn't run the week before because of a small injury.

He ran 9:38 as a frosh so he really was on track to be a 9 minute guy. Something must have gone awray.

Nick Hauger

Armisen wrote:

Nick Hauger

Who knows, the UP boys do crazy stuff at natties. Like how someone was saying if Day won it would be a win for 9:20 boys, if hauger even competed at the front ish and pulls out a top 8 that’s a win for the 9:15 ish guys. I think he was 9:12 or something in HS which is good but nearly as impressive as lots of times that his teammates ran in hs. Eg. evert Silva who was 8:50s low

McDonald by as far as he wants, which is usually about 2sec, he's a patient young man with a kick like a donkey.

Paul Hogan of UMass Lowell.

Second that

Will be interesting and probably down to whether Baxter/Day can run away from MacDonald before the end.

It's going be to a race between Fisher Day and Baxter. Mcdonald is over hyped but is a lock for 4th/5th. If it comes down to a kick Fisher will probably win or Baxter/Day could drop Fisher at 9k and Baxter will probably give Day the win.

UUUUMMMM EVER HEARD OF GRANT FISHER? wrote:

Mcdonald is over hyped but is a lock for 4th/5th.

13:15 pr and an easy win at Nuttycombe and big tens hahahahahahahaha overhyped. Dude is on another level

Justyn Knight had a 13:17 5k pr last year and was raced to the wire by Day and Baxter...not sure why you think his 5k or has that much weight. Also, do you really think Fisher couldn't go sub 13:20 if he wanted a time trial?

It is not the 13:15 but the 13:19 win with a 56.x last lap with 81F/77-deg dew point => Heat Index of 88. That is a 13:05-type performance. And he is not just a hot-weather runner since he has had five years in Madison. Biggest question is 10K but two years ago he was seventh, and he is way better than two years ago (including beating the guy that was a runway NCAA champ).

Overhyped HaHa 2 wrote:

It is not the 13:15 but the 13:19 win with a 56.x last lap with 81F/77-deg dew point => Heat Index of 88. That is a 13:05-type performance. And he is not just a hot-weather runner since he has had five years in Madison. Biggest question is 10K but two years ago he was seventh, and he is way better than two years ago (including beating the guy that was a runway NCAA champ).

Thanks for all the info, Mrs. McDonald!