Here are some way too early and probably inaccurate predictions for next fall.
Top 5 Teams:
1. Amherst: Amherst had a dream season last fall and seem poised to repeat their success. Ricciardelli and Brossy are studs, Meijer is a proven xc beast, and Ferguson- Dryden has improved every season. The key to their success is how Soogard runs, if he repeats his NESCAC xc performance Amherst is a near lock to win, if not they are beatable.
2. Middlebury: Midd loses an all-American in Acension but return everyone else. Matt D’aquilla had a great freshmen year and could contend for the win and they follow him with great depth. Midd should be a contender on both a regional and national level in the fall.
3. Williams: The Ephs had a down year last fall and still came 13th in the nation. They lose a good senior class but still return their customary depth. Ryan Cox is coming off a great track season and Aidan Ryan was one of the top freshmen in the country during cross. They don’t look as strong as usual but Farwell always delivers and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they contend for the win.
4. Tufts: Tufts has a rebuilding year last fall but return their entire top 7, several of whom made great strides on the track this past year. They have an incredibly deep pack and seemed poised to have several runners in the teens and twenties. If any of their runners breakthrough and emerge as a low stick they could contend with teams ahead of them.
5. Conn College: Conn seems very similar to the Tufts team of two years ago. Mason and Aschale will both contend for the win but they don’t have a strong 3-5. If any of their depth guys break through they could be very could.
Individuals:
1. Scott Mason: Three time All American, second at this meet last year. Several contenders but he has the best track record of the field.
2. Clark Ricciardelli: Had a great first xc season last fall and followed it up with an All-American showing in the 10k this past spring. Will contend with Mason for the win.
3. Cosmo Brossy: Has ran well at NESCACS the last two seasons and made it to both indoor and outdoor nationals. Will be up with Ricciardelli and Mason.
4. Danny Aschale: Has proved himself to be a very strong runner these past two years. Tends to not perform as well at championship meets as those ranked above him hence him being ranked 4th.
5. Matt D’Aquilla: Had an outstanding freshmen year placing 12th at nescacs and running 30:24. Have him here for now but is a major dark horse to win.
6. Ryan Cox: All of the top six could win and have All-American potential. Cox doesn’t have quite as strong a track-record as those ranked above him but could easily finish above him.
7. Harrison Knowlton: Proven XC stud who ran a fast 10k last spring. Gives Midd a great 1-2 lunch.
8. Ace McAllister: Won the Nescac 5k last spring and has performed well, albeit inconsistently, in cross. Will contend with the lead pack.
9. Aidan Ryan: Had a great freshmen cross season but didn’t run as well as expected on the track. Still, based off last fall he should contend for top ten:
10. Sean Macdonald: Solid runner who followed up a breakthrough xc season with a great track season. Bowdoin runners tend to run well as seniors (Walker, Jacobson, Torda) and Macdonald seems poised to continue that trend.