2018 IIAC XC Thread

Dragonballbudda wrote:

Women—

Collett top 20 perhaps

She is the only one who will be AA I feel.

NW duo will run well but not quite AA’s I feel.

Both Wesleyan girls have finished in second behind Corina. Hegemann at regionals and Beiermann at conference. Both were very close to her and pushing her. By saying she will be top 20 and the other two will not be AA is to say that she is at least 30 places better than them, which I dont think is true.

Dumbdumb

Women—

Collett top 20 perhaps

She is the only one who will be AA I feel.

NW duo will run well but not quite AA’s I feel.

Both Wesleyan girls have finished in second behind Corina. Hegemann at regionals and Beiermann at conference. Both were very close to her and pushing her. By saying she will be top 20 and the other two will not be AA is to say that she is at least 30 places better than them, which I dont think is true.[/quote]

While I respect what you said, knowing the Oshkosh course is not a “tough” course historically, 10-15 seconds could be 25 places at nationals. I do not believe the Wesleyan girls will be in the top 40 but around 45-70 ish pending on their racing day.

Collett is very strong right now and won by 9 seconds at regionals on a cold day vs. hegemann and 45!...seconds vs. Hegemann at conference (albeit a tough course).

Beiermann is more seasoned,but her regional race does not project great confidence...25 and 30seconds behind Collett at conference/regionals...I feel I’m being as objective and optimistic as I can be with these three ladies respectfully.

10-15 could be more like 30-40 places to be honest

lehip wrote:

10-15 could be more like 30-40 places to be honest

nope im wrong, 20 is more accurate

I think 1-2 guys from the conference will get AA. I have a hard time seeing anyone doing better than top 30, maybe in the upper 20s and then there just isn't room for all of them before the 40th place cut-off.

Also, I don't know what you might have to run to be AA for women, but if you include both NW women, you should probably include Kassie Rosenbum from Loras and potentially Miranda Kriuswyk with them in your predictions based on results from conference and regionals.

Collet is good but I don't think top-20 good. Maybe she gets a late AA spot. Just don't know if she's tough enough yet. She doesn't seem like a Real big meet runner yet. I think the Wesleyan senior could surprise her at nats.

Bonepicker70 wrote:

Collet is good but I don't think top-20 good. Maybe she gets a late AA spot. Just don't know if she's tough enough yet. She doesn't seem like a Real big meet runner yet. I think the Wesleyan senior could surprise her at nats.

the only race she hasnt won this year is pre-nats where she got 7th lmao

Bonepicker70 wrote:

Collet is good but I don't think top-20 good. Maybe she gets a late AA spot. Just don't know if she's tough enough yet. She doesn't seem like a Real big meet runner yet. I think the Wesleyan senior could surprise her at nats.

I agree, I was very impressed by her at regionals! Seems to be peaking at the right time.

Bonepicker70 wrote:

Collet is good but I don't think top-20 good. Maybe she gets a late AA spot. Just don't know if she's tough enough yet. She doesn't seem like a Real big meet runner yet. I think the Wesleyan senior could surprise her at nats.

Collet 15th, Rosenbum 31st and Beiermann 32nd! This guy goes home devestated!!!

Bass goes home devastated

Yes, I thought Bass looked really good @ the ARC championship, back to his old dominant self. Never really saw him at the NCAA meet. Was he ever up toward the front? Vasquez was a bit of a surprise and ran really well finishing as the #1 ARC male finisher.

ARCfan wrote:

Yes, I thought Bass looked really good @ the ARC championship, back to his old dominant self. Never really saw him at the NCAA meet. Was he ever up toward the front? Vasquez was a bit of a surprise and ran really well finishing as the #1 ARC male finisher.

He wasn't ever up towards the front, but his splits show him dropping places. hope he comes back for track, he seems like a good guy

If you saw the video from the nationals thread, Bass was caught in pile up 800m into the race. By the time the bodies got off him he was in 2nd to last place.

I was there and he was also one of the guys that fell on the first start that got recalled. Didn't look bad, but looked like the St. Thomas guy had blood running out of his calves. So rough day out there.