Hi, I am a male high school senior and I would like to know what I will run a 5k this Saturday in. My goal is sub 17.
During the summer before xc I ran up to 60 mpw, and during the season my times were mostly 17:20-35 with a pr of 17:07.
This winter so far I have run an average of 50 with 57 last week.
Workouts have been mostly tempo runs.
4 Mile Tempo: 5:55
5 Mile Tempo: 6:02
7 Mile Tempo: 6:10
Do you guys think I can break 17? I think I can but I'm just not sure..
Based on your 4 mile Tempo I would say absolutely on a flat course. Running up to your full potential time wise is entirely dependent on the course.
Yes, course is completely flat. Thank you for your answer.
It's hard to tell based only on your mileage and tempo runs, as these can mean different things to different people. I think you're moving in the right direction but 16:xx seems like a bridge too far without some work at 5-km pace or faster. I say go out at sub 17 pace and hang on as long as you can. You definitely have the potential to break 17 this spring. Good luck!
Based on what you said, you will need to ask yourself if your tempo runs were truly tempo runs? A tempo should basically be 25-30 seconds slower than race pace. So that puts you right in line with a 16:59 5k (5:27 pace). If the four mile tempo was not an all out taxing effort on your part, I would say you def could do it. Add in other racers and a crowd cheering you on and adrenaline could carry you through. Is this an outdoor, road race? Or 5k on the track? Weather conditions could possibly play a role for you since you are right on the cusp. As you continue your training into the spring, more intervals for speed will help you. Good luck, my friend.
BTW, I live in Michigan...which race you doing?
I'm not actually from Michigan haha. I put it down because a lot of people I know use this website.
Update: Got 17:14 still happy with it even though I didn't break 17.
Nice job! I figured somewhere in the !7:teens, but I didn't want to put a time in your head before the race. If this was on a road, you're probably very close to being under 17 on a track. I think if you do more 5k pace work, you'll eventually break 17.
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