Is Oregon going GOP? Knute Buehler is a Republican running for Governor in the deep blue state of Oregon and polls now have him even with the sitting Democrat Governor, Kate Brown. It would appear voters are getting tired of high Democrat taxes.
Is Oregon going GOP? Knute Buehler is a Republican running for Governor in the deep blue state of Oregon and polls now have him even with the sitting Democrat Governor, Kate Brown. It would appear voters are getting tired of high Democrat taxes.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Is Oregon going GOP?
Nope.
Rigged for Hillary wrote:
Is Oregon going GOP? Knute Buehler is a Republican running for Governor in the deep blue state of Oregon and polls now have him even with the sitting Democrat Governor, Kate Brown. It would appear voters are getting tired of high Democrat taxes.
New Poll Shows Oregon Governor's Race Is Getting Close, But Is It Really Tied?
by Jeff Mapes Follow OPB July 23, 2018 | Updated: July 24, 2018
The first public poll in Oregon’s gubernatorial race in six months is certainly eye-catching. It shows Gov. Kate Brown and Republican challenger Knute Buehler tied at 45 percent apiece.
What’s not clear is just how accurate the survey is, or the motivations of the Florida-based firm that is behind it, Gravis Marketing.
In the governor’s race, Brown has been seen as the strong front-runner by several political forecasting groups, at least in part because Democrats hold all but one statewide elected office in Oregon.
The last public poll, conducted in January for Oregon Public Broadcasting by DHM Research of Portland, found Brown with a 17-point lead — 46 percent to 29 percent — over Buehler.
The Gravis poll did raise some methodological questions. The firm says it used “an online panel of cellphone users and interactive voice responses.” The latter phrase means that many respondents were questioned by an automated voice and used touch-tone buttons to list their choices. Some polling experts raise doubts about the accuracy of those kinds of polls.
In addition, Horvick noted that the poll doesn’t draw from lists of registered voters. Instead, voters are asked to self-identify, which Horvick said makes them more likely to describe themselves as an independent.
As a result, 44 percent of the sample identified themselves as an independent. In reality, a much higher share of the electorate will be made up of voters registered as Republican or Democrat. And Horvick said there’s no way to know if Gravis got the right mix of Democratic and Republican voters.
Gravis founder Douglas Kaplan couldn’t be reached for comment Monday. His firm has received a C+ rating from FiveThirtyEight.Com, a well-known politics website that regularly rates pollsters.
The firm has had some notable failures since it started in 2010. The Washington Post reported that in 2016, Gravis said a primary challenger to a Republican congressman in Maryland was leading by 29 points. Months later, that challenger lost by 76 points.
In 2014, the firm said Texas Sen. John Cornyn was ahead of his primary challenger by 15 points. But Cornyn ended up winning by 40 points.
Brown’s campaign spokesman, Christian Gaston, questioned Gravis’ credibility. He declined to comment on what his campaign’s own polls show about the state of the race.
https://www.opb.org/news/article/oregon-governors-race-poll-kate-brown-knute-buehler/DiscoGary wrote:
Fat hurts wrote:
You obviously know nothing about attorney-client privilege.
The privilege can be waived. That's what happened in this case. Trump waived his privilege.
If Trump is hurt by the release of the tapes then it's Trump's fault.
It doesn't matter what I know about attorney client privilege. What matters is what people will now think when they visit their lawyer, and I do know that.
When people visit their lawyer, the lawyer can inform them about the law. That's what the lawyer is for.
Since the Trump/Cohen case has changed nothing about the law, there is no problem. You are just being paranoid.
Again, Trump waived his privilege. It's Trump's fault that the tape was released.
Karl Hungus wrote:
I don't understand why people hate him for banging models. I wish they'd quit slut shaming him. :(
No kidding. When did it become uncool to bang models and strippers?
It's a much higher quality than what Bill Clinton was pulling in.
Flagpole wrote:
DiscoGary wrote:
It doesn't matter what I know about attorney client privilege. What matters is what people will now think when they visit their lawyer, and I do know that.
Uneducated people will think that. The people I associate with are educated and smart. Perhaps you need to surround yourself with some of the same.
You think even your red neck neighbors know that?
Unpriviledged wrote:
Fat hurts wrote:
You obviously know nothing about attorney-client privilege.
The privilege can be waived. That's what happened in this case. Trump waived his privilege.
If Trump is hurt by the release of the tapes then it's Trump's fault.
LOL . . . another weak Trump smoke-screen. He could not waive his attorney-client privilege because the judge in the seized-documents case had determined those tapes did not qualify for that protection. So, Trump saying he waived his privilege is a yuge nothingburger.
You got the facts wrong. The court was in the process of making a determination about the tapes when both Cohen and Trump decided to waive privilege. Look it up.
This would all be very interesting if Hillary had won the election.
Fat hurts wrote:
DiscoGary wrote:
It doesn't matter what I know about attorney client privilege. What matters is what people will now think when they visit their lawyer, and I do know that.
When people visit their lawyer, the lawyer can inform them about the law. That's what the lawyer is for.
Since the Trump/Cohen case has changed nothing about the law, there is no problem. You are just being paranoid.
Again, Trump waived his privilege. It's Trump's fault that the tape was released.
If I ever have to talk to a lawyer about some sensitive legal issue, the first question I am going to ask is "The attorney client privilege died with Cohen, so how can I trust you? How do I know you won't use whatever I say against me in the future?"
The only response the lawyer will have to that is "You aren't important enough to justify that much work."
This Cohen thing is devastating to our legal system, and as usual you Liberals are ignoring the consequences to score cheap political points today. Our country is burning and Liberals are stoking the fire. You will live to regret that.
No. Hillary would have been treated like Obama if she had won. There would have been no consequences for the things she's done or the things she would have done.
If that's the case then you need to blame Trump. Trump is the one who waived his privilege.
"I guess it was the biggest electoral college win since Ronald Reagan," - Donald J. Trump, February 2017
Electoral college results since Reagan, from biggest to smallest margin of victory:
1988: Bush v. Dukakis, 426 -111
1996: Clinton v. Dole, 379 - 159
1992: Clinton v. Bush, 370 - 168
2008: Obama v. McCain, 365 - 173
2012: Obama v. Romney, 332 - 206
2016: Trump v. Clinton, 304 - 227
2004: Bush v. Kerry, 286 - 251
2000: Bush v. Gore, 271 - 266
Flagpole wrote:
Karl Hungus wrote:
I don't understand why people hate him for banging models. I wish they'd quit slut shaming him. :(
It's not the banging models. It's the coverup and lying about it and then the campaign finance violation associated with it. He can have any arrangement he wants with Melania, but he's not allowed to break the law.
Sure he is. There is nothing greater/higher than the Dear Leader. Democracy is overrated.
They spent months on investigations finally trying to impeach Clinton for one of his affairs and now the chief misinformation officer's affairs are okay. Plus, it's the Dear Leader and his fascist followers.
Meanwhile, one of the more interesting side stories to the released tape is it suggests he was paying off Florida's AG and promising a political office in exchange for dropping case(s?) about Trump University.
https://www.orlandoweekly.com/Blogs/archives/2018/07/25/it-sure-sounds-like-trump-is-talking-to-florida-ag-pam-bondi-in-secret-cohen-audio-tapeThe tape clearly shows he had very detailed knowledge of the Daniels bribe and directly connects the National Enquirer to the Trump org. Trump was generating his own fake news all along.
So they raided Trump's lawyer's office to reveal the way he financed his sexual escapades? No Russian collusion. Nothing. Wow. So much damage done to the country with so little to show for it.
Good list...next will U.S.A. Gov't = Failed Lower revenue due to tax cuts, higher gov't payments on the debt interest plus higher gov't spending - this "good economy" is borrowing from the future
Well then, following your first question, your lawyer will know he or she has a very ignorant client.
The legal system is working just fine. A Special Master is looking at all of the Cohen materials and making a determination about what is protected under attorney client privilege and what is not, just as the law dictates. Not all conversations between a client and an attorney get such privilege, and if the law is being broken, that isn't protected either.
Our country isn't burning, but we are in a bit of a crisis with an amoral, unethical, ignorant, lying criminal in the White House. We will survive Trump, and it won't be on his terms.
How the heck did Trump mortgage fail? With the "tens of billions" he says he's worth.
"As of September 2006, Trump Mortgage was licensed in 25 states and stated that it was the fastest-growing commercial and residential mortgage company in the United States".
"The company's closure was announced on August 5, 2007, as the result of a poor economy and Ridings' exaggeration of his credentials. Experts also believed that the company expanded too quickly. By the time of the closure announcement, Trump had agreed to license his name to First Meridian Mortgage, which was temporarily renamed as Trump Finance in some areas before reverting to its original name after a few years"
Trump has the magic touch of death for sure
I'd say his failing is far from over. Melania will be his next failure
DiscoGary wrote:So they raided Trump's lawyer's office to reveal the way he financed his sexual escapades? No Russian collusion. Nothing. Wow. So much damage done to the country with so little to show for it.
I thought you were a lawyer Gary?
As for collusion, no search warrant needed.
https://www.independent.ie/videos/world-news/video-donald-trump-sides-with-russia-over-election-meddling-37124784.htmlObama's business acumen = never tried
Hillary's business acumen = never tried
Bernie's business acumen = never tried
One way to make you sure you never fail is to never try.
DiscoGary wrote:
If I ever have to talk to a lawyer about some sensitive legal issue, the first question I am going to ask is "The attorney client privilege died with Cohen, so how can I trust you? How do I know you won't use whatever I say against me in the future?"
It wouldn't be a question if you understood there are limits to attorney-client privilege.
I thought you were a lawyer?
RIP: D3 All-American Frank Csorba - who ran 13:56 in March - dead
RENATO can you talk about the preparation of Emile Cairess 2:06
Running for Bowerman Track Club used to be cool now its embarrassing
Great interview with Steve Cram - says Jakob has no chance of WRs this year
Hats off to my dad. He just ran a 1:42 Half Marathon and turns 75 in 2 months!
2017 World 800 champ Pierre-Ambroise Bosse banned 1 year for whereabouts failures
2024 College Track & Field Open Coaching Positions Discussion