What can Ashton Eaton Run for 5k?

a. 17 mins

b. 16 mins

c. 15 mins

His best 1500 is 4:14 and he apparently doesn't train for the 1500.

http://www.runnersworld.com/olympic-trials/five-things-to-know-about-ashton-eaton-and-the-1500-meters

If you put 4:14 into mcmillan, you get 15:54. I imagine that if he trained and lost some weight he would be around ~16 with proper pacing. This is also a guy who has run 10.X for the 100 so he isn't going to be a world beater in the 5k.

a) 16:30

b) 16:00

c) 14:00

McMillan is bullshit. Plus it doesn't even work how you think it does.

No chance. wrote:

McMillan is bullshit. Plus it doesn't even work how you think it does.

Could you explain how it works then?

4:14 equates to something along the lines of 16:30.

I would expect a guy with 15:54 to run about 4:07 and he wouldn't need to be particularly 'quick' per say. (speed oriented at lest).

Eaton could maybe be close to 17:15 in a good day with good company. Probably slower, as he's just too bulky.

He's virtually an elite sprinter with a fantastic athletic ability in jumping and throwing events.

dipshit wrote:

No chance. wrote:

McMillan is bullshit. Plus it doesn't even work how you think it does.

Could you explain how it works then?

4:14 is equivalent to a 15:57 5k according to that calculator. It does NOT mean that Eaton could run anywhere near 15:57 or has the potential to do so. It is just what the calculator has decided is equivalent. Eaton, with a 45s 400m who can only manage a 4:14 1500m, is clearly not a candidate to be equally good at the 5k as the 1500m.

As for the calculators accuracy, put in a 1:50 800m and it has that equivalent to a 2:18 marathon. Yeah. No. Also has a 3:25.9 1500m equivalent to a 2:05:35 marathon. Ok.

This guy works out more than anybody on this board and his drop off from 800 or even 1000 to 1500 is terrible. I think he would run about 17:30.

Given 45" 400 and 4:14 1500, stats_gangsta's estimate is... 18:38

okay, so we've got lots of predictions, but few of you have noted whether your guess is for 2015 WR shape, or his all-time potential. I think he could get down to 15:30 if he never touched a shotput in his life, just trained for 5k from freshman year of HS. I would have him at 18:30 if in 2015 shape.

47 400m

2:30 1,000m

4:35 1600m

10:30 3200

17:30 5000m

Given the calculator doesn't take into account the toll of 9 events over the 2 days leading up to the 4:14 effort it's pretty useless.

The real answer to this thread is:

(d) faster than you because Ashton Eaton is a once in a generation athletic talent.

Holdup wrote:

Given the calculator doesn't take into account the toll of 9 events over the 2 days leading up to the 4:14 effort it's pretty useless.

The real answer to this thread is:

(d) faster than you because Ashton Eaton is a once in a generation athletic talent.

There's a few here including myself that can run a lot faster over 5k than Ashton has ever dreamed of. There's probably one or two that have gone through 1.5km in 4:14 during their 5k.

Face it, he's a sprinter. 10.2 and 45. Decathletes are bulked up 400m runners, that's it.

In his defense he was probably dreaming of becoming the best decathlete ever instead of some middling, letsrun posting 5k runner.

I'd give him 15 flat if he had decided to go out for cross country as a youth and kept working at it through college.