Suliman ran 15:15 at this meet last year and ran 15:10 at FL South, as well as 1:51 and 4:12 for the 800 and mile.
Looks like he could be in the 14:50 range on McAlpine, and possibly top-5 at FLN.
Dude is legit
Unless he underperformed at this race last year.
Unless the course changed, he's obviously legitimately improved, because he dropped 26 seconds on it.
But not top 5 at naties good. Speed ratings aren't crazy accurate, but Principe, Affolder, Hirsch, Hasty, sill have at least 10 sec on him (1 pt per 3 sec) and the number of guys who have run between 190 and 193 in the past month and a half is relatively high. Nice dark horse pick, but 193 isn't quite at the top of the country.
Speed rated wrote:
Meylan has that performance at 193. That's pretty good.
The true course is 5K; however, there are a number of ways it can be a little less. I measured the course and 'I know how to measure'. With that said, I would guess over half of the XC courses in America are little short. The only way a course stays accurate is if a national championship is held there or a local certifier periodically remarks the course. Although it does have a decent hill, Alpine is fast for a number of other reasons.
the course is not legit.
I can say with certainty that 3rd Battle is not measured from the center and that it's not short. I measure it each year due to minor changes in how the grass is cut, and I re-mark the start line and finish line each year to ensure it remains a full 5000m. After marking it this year, my team ran the course easy the day before the meet. With about 10 GPS watches on it, they ALL came up with 3.11-3.14. On an easy run, maybe kids aren't hugging the turns or taking the tangents well, and I know that GPS has room for error(obviously, considering they weren't all identical), but the fact that they all came up slightly long validated, to me anyway, that the course was done correctly again this year.
this course is a joke, dont buy this bologna, VA tends to measure courses from the center
Leads to fast times at meets like William and Mary, 3rd battle, glory days, milestat.com
6th and 9th place in the Varsity A race missed the 2nd mile split. Do we have a couple Lil' Rossis?
The MileStat.com Invite course is an accurately measured course at 3.1 miles, which has also been used by the University of Richmond for their home meets. Its a flat two loop course jam packed with spectators in large fields that you have to get out fast with deepest fields that any teams will see all season long in state. Meet is always right before championship season starts, so athletes are near peak shape. Weather and course conditions have been ideal last few years at Pole Green Park as well. Its fast and a 5K as advertised.
Can see splits here, which meet had chip timing for mile, 2 mile splits. Waleed went out hard in 4:33 for first mile, 4:52 for second mile, and was cramping up in final 1.1 mile (5:24), but able to finish in 14:49 for 4:47 mile place.