BREAKING- Evan Jager Will Run 5000 in Zurich and Steeple in Brussels - How Low Will He Go ?

In the 5000m I give Jager 50% chance of running sub 13 and predict 12:57 if that happens. The other 50% says the race will not be conducive to it (either the rabbits mess up or the pack doesn't go with the rabbits and it turns into a 13:05 sit and kick affair).

In the steeple I think Jager can go 7:56 but only give this 10%. 90% chance he and the rest of the competitors are flat, past their peak, and emotionally drained by then and the race turns into a dud.

I hope I'm wrong and he kills both races. He's in great shape and his confidence has to be at an all time high.

somebloke wrote:

Oh Puh-lease wrote:

Who gives a rat's rump what Chelimo could/might do. We're talking about Evan Jager here, a true American distance runner. Take your "transplanted Kenyan" talk elsewhere. (And, no, I won't give a crud about Chelimo's Army "service" until he puts himself in harm's way like real soldiers do.)

ban this redneck please.

+1 By this poster's logic, anyone stationed in say Japan, Germany, and other allied countries that aren't war torn haven't actually "served". I wonder if this fella knows that Chelimo has to serve 4 years after he is done with WCAP.

Pathetic.

ttc wrote:

I'd love to see him in a fast, competitive 10K. I bet that's his 2nd best event.

When will he move up to the 'thon and run a full mary?

Called it. He peaked for the Olympics.

Collegerunner05 wrote:

Called it. He peaked for the Olympics.

Hopefully he peaked for the Olympics. It would be pretty stupid not to peak for the biggest race of your career.

Even if peaked for the Olympics he can still run a fast race a week or 2 after.

I think he can break 13 and 8 in the right race. Hopefully, in the post Olympic races, everyone is ready to forego the tactical BS and run some fast times.

Tactical Blunder wrote:

If Jager could run sub-8:00, why didn't he win Gold?

The winning time was slower than 8 minutes.

Steeeeve wrote:

When will he move up to the 'thon and run a full mary?

named Mary.

Does anyone else think he could have medaled in the 5k? Not gold, but silver or bronze for sure.

Jager will run 12:50 low. Mark my words. If Jager is currently sub-8 fit, and he gets a good race, he will be well under 13 minutes. Unless he doesn't want to.

Another prediction: Jager switches to 5k as main in order to find greater glory later in career.

heyo wrote:

Jager will run 12:50 low. Mark my words. If Jager is currently sub-8 fit, and he gets a good race, he will be well under 13 minutes. Unless he doesn't want to.

Another prediction: Jager switches to 5k as main in order to find greater glory later in career.

So much bs on this thread. Reminds me of all the Rupp threads last year and the year before when people were predicting 12:50, etc. Hardly anyone runs under 13 now after the stricter testing has come into play. Sub 8 in the steeple is more realistic.

13:05/7:59.8

Have you ever heard of pacemakers?

They're Diamond League races.... of course there will be pacers. Seriously?

Whether the field will go with them is, however, another matter.

7:58/12:52

[quote]heyo wrote:

Jager will run 12:50 low. Mark my words. If Jager is currently sub-8 fit, and he gets a good race, he will be well under 13 minutes. Unless he doesn't want to.

Oh yeah, he'll be like I could have broke 13, I just didn't want to today. I like to run slower than I am capable of and will purposely slow down and fall if I get close to breaking 8 or 13.

7:58 and 12:56

Sure! hand me a martini wrote:

Oh yeah, he'll be like I could have broke 13, I just didn't want to today. I like to run slower than I am capable of and will purposely slow down and fall if I get close to breaking 8 or 13.

Is that a reference to last year in Paris?

As for the question:

Steeple: 7:58.x

5k: 13:04.x

I think he's probably in shape to run close to 12:55, but the 5ks in these Diamond League races recently have been quite disappointing. Hope I'm wrong though.