NY XC 2016 Thread

Noah Carey probably won't win state. Freshman Behailu Bekele-Arcuri will probably be top 10. Nathan Lawler will be the best in the state

denzel_vilsaint wrote:

Noah Carey probably won't win state. Freshman Behailu Bekele-Arcuri will probably be top 10. Nathan Lawler will be the best in the state

I agree that Carey won't be the best come feds and NXR, (still has a better shot at states victory given he's class A)but i'm still hesitant to pick Lawler given his lack of great track races. Dellinger vs. Lawler in the B's should be a fun race I think, and a guy named Chris Hughes had a huge breakout track season with 4:22 and 9:16 prs could also close the gap if he improves a bit more.

Noah Tindale will definitely be lower class men dominant. Shea Weilbaker ran a 9:38 to finish his freshman year. His mile PR is not that good showing he might be a 5k guy.

sec 2. wrote:

Noah Tindale will definitely be lower class men dominant. Shea Weilbaker ran a 9:38 to finish his freshman year. His mile PR is not that good showing he might be a 5k guy.

Weilbaker trains very hard for such a young age, too, which will also helps. I believe his dad is affiliated somehow with the Saratoga Team. I am a bit confused by Tindale's focus on speed workouts over the summer months which did not seem to help him too much last xc season, but hopefully it pays off better. Andrew Coy repped section 2 well by getting second in the trials prediction contest. There is also a rumor floating around that Bjorn Torgenstein could actually be trying to compete in the HS scene again, and if his papers check out, Bjorn is my darkhorse for the top harrier in the state.

Ethan Carey has been training hard, back to his 77 mile weeks that he did last summer before his 15:21 at SPAC, but recently got an ankle injury. The kad trains so freaking hard though, that he could get down to a sub 15 SPAC performance and challenge the top dogs in the state.

Ethan Carey is garbage in the races that count, though, not even worth mentioning. Guilderland's Noahs of the NoahandNoah show could be the best top duo in the state, but their backend just isn't good enough for their team to even win their sectional meet most likely. Saratoga will probably still win that, Shen behind, then Gland, then Queensbury.

State wise, I think that Noah Carey will dominate the end of the season. His strength is too dominating. His pecs are bigger than any other top runner's.

Tully team predictions came out on Sunday

Girls:

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Scores Using Top 37 Teams

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Section-

Team Score Class

--------------------- ----- --------

1 Fayetteville-Manlius 75 (03-A )

2 Saratoga 90 (02-A )

3 North Rockland 190 (01-A )

4 Guilderland 315 (02-A )

5 Monroe-Woodbury 320 (09-A )

6 Corning 375 (04-A )

7 Shenendehowa 380 (02-A )

6 Webster Thomas 395 (05-A )

9 Pearl River 405 (01-B )

10 Shoreham Wading River 405 (11-B )

11 Colonie 425 (02-A )

12 Niskayuna 480 (02-A )

13 Rush-Henrietta 490 (05-A )

14 Clarence 500 (06-A )

15 Syosset 505 (08-A )

16 John Jay CR 510 (01-B )

17 East Aurora 510 (06-B )

18 Elmira District 545 (04-A )

19 Burnt Hills 550 (02-B )

20 West Genesee 565 (03-A )

21 Pittsford Sutherland 570 (05-B )

22 Suffern 585 (01-A )

23 Sachem East 600 (11-A )

24 Bronxville 610 (01-C )

25 Greenwich 615 (02-D )

26 West Seneca West 615 (06-A )

27 Bayport-Blue Pt 620 (11-B )

28 Canandaigua 620 (05-B )

29 Warwick Valley 635 (09-A )

30 Notre Dame Academy 635 (CHSAA)

31 Ithaca 640 (04-A )

32 Newfane 640 (06-C )

33 Honeoye Falls-Lima 640 (05-B )

34 Conv Sacred Heart 645 (AIS )

35 Pittsford Mendon 650 (05-B )

36 Queensbury 655 (02-A )

37 Fairport 670 (05-A )

Boys:

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Scores Using Top 36 Teams

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Section-

Team Score Class

--------------------- ----- --------

1 Fayetteville-Manlius 245 (03-A )

2 Ithaca 255 (04-A )

3 Corning 275 (04-A )

4 Saratoga 285 (02-A )

5 Warwick Valley 300 (09-A )

6 Xavier 320 (CHSAA)

7 Burnt Hills 350 (02-B )

8 Shenendehowa 390 (02-A )

9 Liverpool 395 (03-A )

10 Mount Academy 415 (09-C )

11 Watkins Glen 425 (04-C )

12 Somers 450 (01-B )

13 East Aurora 455 (06-B )

14 Pittsford Mendon 460 (05-B )

15 St. Anthony's 470 (CHSAA)

16 Guilderland 475 (02-A )

17 Brockport 490 (05-B )

18 Baldwinsville 495 (03-A )

19 Orchard Park 495 (06-A )

20 Queensbury 495 (02-A )

21 McQuaid 500 (05-A )

22 Chaminade 500 (CHSAA)

23 Fairport 510 (05-A )

24 Pearl River 525 (01-B )

25 Northport 540 (11-A )

26 Niskayuna 555 (02-A )

27 Kingston 560 (09-A )

28 Penfield 560 (05-A )

29 Cicero-North Syracuse 575 (03-A )

30 Sachem North 580 (11-A )

31 Fox Lane 580 (01-A )

32 West Genesee 580 (03-A )

33 Maine-Endwell 590 (04-B )

34 Smithtown 610 (11-A )

35 Arlington 620 (01-A )

36 Trinity School 640 (AIS )

Is there a schedule for dual meets out? (for section 2)

What is Kelsey Chmiel running history? Saw her run a 17:17 today as a sophomore? How long has she run, etc.

Ruth barrett wrote:

What is Kelsey Chmiel running history? Saw her run a 17:17 today as a sophomore? How long has she run, etc.

She started running in indoor track as an seventh grader, improved to the mid 4:40's in the 1500 by outdoors, then picked up again the next year in track. She ran 4:35 and 9:52 in the 1500/3000, then broke out in XC with a 16:59 at SPAC before her 4th place finish at NXN. This past outdoor she got down to 9:35 in the 3k and a HUGE 4:23 in the 1500. The chick is mad good, and has the credentials after last year. Give her even more props for running so well even while her team isn't.

That's really impressive only starting in 7th grade--- did she play other sports or run with a junior running club??

Usually when they are that good as a freshman then sophomore, they have been running since they were 7 or 8.

Let's not overlook Sachem North's front-running duo of Chris Tibbets and Jonathan Lauer. They merely finished 2-4 seconds (16:12 and 16:14) behind Noah Carey's 16:10 at State last year. They had a relatively successful Spring track season, and (if done properly) now seem poised to make a statement this XC season. They also have the benefit of training and racing together (as does Liverpool's duo of Brownlow and Schulz). If Noah Tindale can bridge the gap consistently with his teammate Carey, then it's going to be quite interesting with these three duos at the forefront of Class A competition. Stay tuned, folks!