Bad Wigins wrote:
There are so many genes relevant to athletics that it's like a bridge hand where everyone has hundreds or thousands of cards. With that many cards in play, extreme outliers i.e. "winning" hands" are highly unlikely. It all depends on how the cards fall.
Most of your post sounded very reasonable to my untrained ears, but this analogy seems misleading. For example, there are many genes that affect height, and yet even in a controlled environment heights would not be uniform (height is 60-80% heritable). The reason this is statistically possible is that while many genes affect height, there are a smaller number whose effects dominate. To extend your analogy, this would be like a hand of many cards, but mostly what matters is how many aces you have.
Things seem murkier when it comes to athletic performance. But for example, body type, VO2max, and muscular strength and endurance are all moderately to highly heritable. Here is a relevant quote from a review article I found (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3993978/):
"The heritability of a trait is generally considered an estimation of the importance of genetic factors to that trait. For example, the heritability of athletic status (regardless of sport) is estimated to be 66% (4). Height, which is critical for success in some sports, is highly heritable, with about 80% of the variation due to genetic factors (5). Body type (having mesomorphic or ectomorphic somatotype) is also highly heritable (6). These somatotypes are classically associated with power or endurance athlete status, respectively (7).
Costa et al. (8) recently reviewed existing family and twin studies related to specific endurance and muscular strength phenotypes. Aerobic endurance, as reflected by VO2max has a heritability of about 50% (9). Heritability estimates for muscular strength, and power range from 30 to 83%, depending on the specific muscle and type of contraction (8)."
That review article goes on to talk about specific genes, but while most of that was over my head it basically sounds like while we've found a couple genes that are correlated with performance, we're just scratching the surface of a very complicated system.