Will Centro make the team?

yikes!! wrote:

Guy's a proven gamer and a gold medallist, but can he do it? He had a strong double recently and you know he's still working to get in shape... but is this actually a blessing in disguise? Centro looked past-peak in Beijing so this injury might set him back a bit so he's peaked in August. With the 1500m looking rather weak this year, I'll predict Centro wins the trials, a surprise in 2nd, and Andrews for his late kick 3rd.

Will any of the Trials three 1500 rounds produce a race fast enough for a real "surprise" to get an OG Q time?

No surprise Q. Blankenship has not raced in some time. The team will be same as last year but not sure the order. Centro, Manzano and Andrews. Merber and BB are the only other two possibilities. Neither likely.

Buddha belly wrote:

No surprise Q. Blankenship has not raced in some time. The team will be same as last year but not sure the order. Centro, Manzano and Andrews. Merber and BB are the only other two possibilities. Neither likely.

Agree except that I think Manzano and Blankenship are equal. Might give the edge to BB because he seems to have his head in the game. Just because he hasn't raced doesn't mean he isn't very fit. He has always been somewhat 'separate' from OTC socially (Mead has said this before) and I think more mentally in it. If he's not injured I would put the top 6 guys in order as Centro, Andrews, Blankenship/Manzano (equal) and then Merber with a very low chance of Murphy or Alexander getting the OT.

reality Chuck wrote:

yikes!! wrote:

Guy's a proven gamer and a gold medallist, but can he do it? He had a strong double recently and you know he's still working to get in shape... but is this actually a blessing in disguise? Centro looked past-peak in Beijing so this injury might set him back a bit so he's peaked in August. With the 1500m looking rather weak this year, I'll predict Centro wins the trials, a surprise in 2nd, and Andrews for his late kick 3rd.

Will any of the Trials three 1500 rounds produce a race fast enough for a real "surprise" to get an OG Q time?

Not bloody likely! Someone has run a 3:36.20 or better in only 3 trials, and that's counting heats and semis: 1980 (meet record 3:35.15 Steve Scott), 2000 (3:35.90), and 2004 (3:36.13). It's hoping for quite a lot to get your Olympic standard during the trials.

Cheer up, it was tougher in 2012, with the Olympic "A" standard at 3:35.50. That was beat at the trials only once, by Steve Scott.

Crap, I forgot 2012, when 2 guys went under 3:36.20. That makes 4 trials out of the last 9, and 4 guys total.

Make the standard 3:35.74 and you still only have Steve Scott doing it at the trials--ever.

My math is bad. 5 guys total.

So basically 7 guys have a shot at Rio (have standard)

Centro

Merber

Andrews

Manzano

Blankenship

Heath

Leslie

Out of that bunch, Blankenship has run the fastest outdoor (3:37.8), followed by who?

Sorry Andrews is the fastest of that bunch in 3:37.52, followed by Blankenship in 3:37.80 and Manzano in 3:39.70.

I doubt that more than 3 of these (7) guys will make the final.

So basically, make the final and qualify for RIo.

Centro is looking manly as ever with that scruff.

Took it to the boys at Stump like no big deal

None of it matters because no Americans will make the Olympic final for the 1500m. It's gonna be a repeat of 2008.

manhood wrote:

Centro is looking manly as ever with that scruff.

Took it to the boys at Stump like no big deal

Ok, Centro is now 3rd of the bunch (7) with his 3:37.81

I think that he will be the strongest of the bunch come trials. In my mind, it would be a huge upset if he doesn't make it.

Why compare current standards to past events?

In 1992 the top two finishers at the trials hit the Oly standard in the finals.

Spivey already had the standard and Holman got his standard in that race.