kvjaepokfva wrote:
If you want to run in college, you have a 100% chance of doing so if you stay healthy. If your goal is to "Run D1" you have a very very small chance of doing that. The dream of D1 running for a good % of runners is this: Year 1. Hold a clipboard and call out splits in XC and Track - "Redshirted" Year 2. Practice with the team, run a home meet or two. Never make a road trip and call out splits/stats etc. Year 3. Quit - either get a P/T job or join a fraternity.
If you truly want to run and have a great experience - run D2/D3 or NAIA
Not true. I run at a major D1 and everyone has a fair shot. Not everyone gets to go to the top collegiate meets, but the freshman and slower guys still get racing opportunities at local meets. You have to work your way up, but it's not impossible.
You are off to a good start for your first year, but your times aren't good enough for D1. I went to high school in California as well. I'd estimate that the guys who got into competitive D1 colleges ran around:
At least low 15:00s at Mount SAC, Woodbridge, etc.
Around or below 1:54 in the 800
Around or below 4:16 in the 1600
Around or below 9:20 in the 3200
I didn't break 2:00 or 4:30 until my junior year, so large improvements are possible. What is your training like?