rojo wrote:
Sorry to interrupt your football playoff viewing but I just got a call from a prominent HS coach who told me that he just got a call from a top collegiate coach telling him that Donovan Brazier had just run 1:45.9 indoors with no rabbit.
Yes, it's true as shown by this tweet.
https://twitter.com/aggietrk/status/688483653597319169Brazier ran 1:45.93, nearly breaking the American collegiate record of 1:45.88.
The race was done on a regulation track at Texas A&M with no rabbits and he we believe he went out in 51.
The top coach who called our buddy said he thougth Brazier would run 1:42 this year. So sick.
-Rojo
Some cursory analysis :
51+ / 54+ meant he went out too fast & would have been looking at at least 0.5s quicker with slower opener
That gets him to 1'45.4
Then, no pacing to bell offers at least 0.4s, getting him down to 1'45.0 with pacing
This was indoor & at this level should be ~ 1.75s faster outdoors
That gets his current shape at
~ 1'43-low
That is in January whilst just 1/2 way thru his winter training & virtually no speedwork as no one does speedwork in January
I woud suggest that as long as he doesn't get burnt out, 1'42+ outdoors is a given & it is probably going to be nearer low-end & kid is still 18y !!!
Gray's 1'42.59AR should definitely go this year