Andrew Hunter will win Foot Locker by ___ & when will he leave the pack for second place?

don't know about the other runners... but my prediction is AH 14:34...course record...

He will win by 4 seconds and will run 14:57. He's not going to risk blowing up when trying to go for the course record, and will move away on the big hill.

14:40.

Pulls away just after the second mile mark

he will go out fast still. maybe not the sub 9:20 pace he as done but still fast enough to make it hurt for anyone who has the balls to go with him. on the first time up the big hill he will be conservative and then separate after this to never be seen again.

Didn't dathan run a 14:29 at balboa

Orlando

15:00, putting the hammer down right around where Fisher did last year

Wins by 2 seconds...breaks from small pack with 150 meters to go. WT: 15:03

bsumpforeffect wrote:

Wins by 2 seconds...breaks from small pack with 150 meters to go. WT: 15:03

No way...

Even if Hunter waited until the last downhill.. his run in will bring him ti sub 15 territory.

Hunter will win by at least eight seconds (around 14:50) and break away 1M to half-mile to go.

handicap wrote:

Foot Locker

Andrew's going to win... but by how much?

When will he shred the last competitor?

OP, we liked your thread. It appears in our preview.

Our race preview basically has Hunter racing history. Will he try to destroy everyone so he can stack up with the all-time greats like Ritz and Solinsky?

rojo wrote:

handicap wrote:

Foot Locker

Andrew's going to win... but by how much?

When will he shred the last competitor?

OP, we liked your thread. It appears in our preview.

Our race preview basically has Hunter racing history. Will he try to destroy everyone so he can stack up with the all-time greats like Ritz and Solinsky?

http://www.letsrun.com/news/2015/12/2015-foot-locker-finals-boys-preview-can-drew-hunter-stamp-time-great-closing-perfect-season-dominant-win/

But Hunter would only race history if he were assured of his own victory. If he were a returning champion, then maybe, but one of his most common and effective XC strategies (until he got too good to compete normally) was to run with his competition until the 2 mile mark, and then blast the third mile. I see him doing that again on Saturday, knowing that if he goes for 14:35 and runs 15:35 he'll never forgive himself. The first mile will be 4:53, they'll hit 2 miles in 9:55, and then Hunter will run the rest of the race at 4:30ish pace, pulling away by the big hill to win in 14:55ish. Still quite a fast time, showing off his incredible fitness, but one that has a 99% chance of working rather than an 85%.

Hunter has gone out in sub 4:30 multiple times this season.

He doesn't need to hold back to win the race and he knows it. His coach knows it and his parents know it. He knows he is in roughly 14:30-14:45 shape on that course, so his goal will be to take it out to run that kind of time.

Mile 1: 4:36

Mile 2: 4:45 (9:21)

Mile 3: 4:40 (14:01)

Then he's chasing history. I believe he will have about a 12-15 lead at the mile and will hold that until the final 600 or so when he wins by 20+ seconds.

Lenny Leonard wrote:

Hunter has gone out in sub 4:30 multiple times this season.

He doesn't need to hold back to win the race and he knows it. His coach knows it and his parents know it. He knows he is in roughly 14:30-14:45 shape on that course, so his goal will be to take it out to run that kind of time.

Mile 1: 4:36

Mile 2: 4:45 (9:21)

Mile 3: 4:40 (14:01)

Then he's chasing history. I believe he will have about a 12-15 lead at the mile and will hold that until the final 600 or so when he wins by 20+ seconds.

If that's the best he can do, then he won't win by 20 seconds. If Jon Davis runs the way he did at the Illinois State meet, then he'll be able to match that 14:01 at the 3 mile mark. Davis had an off race at NXN, so we don't know if he's done with the season or just decided to back off that one because of all the racing. It's not a good sign. I hope he brings his "A" game to give Hunter some competition.

XC isn't about times, it's about competing. Hunter will go after shiny PRs in track; on Saturday, it's all about winning, and he has the best kick. Hunter FTW in 15:05. After all, Fisher never did better.

XC isn't about times EXCEPT when we're talking about a course that has seen hundreds of the best high school runners in history. It is an equalizer. The weather is reliable and the times mean a whole lot.

Win by 7-10 seconds. Making move in the approach to the second time up the hill, maybe 1 minute before the base.

1st mile in 4:42. 14:54 at the finish.

legacies are built by victories and times over same courses and footlocker most of all in xc, aside from a few state meet and other regional courses.

My guess is that Hunter runs with the field until they start slowing down then pulls away from them the rest of the way.

He won by 33 seconds at Footlocker South.

Prediction: 14:45 / wins by 18 seconds

Rain predicted for Friday. I just don't see a super fast time. The only people to get close to Reina were insanely good. Hunter is insanely good, but it's a lot to ask.