Next American to go sub 13:00 in 5k and when?

Jager

Followed by Ches

Ben True. he ran 13:06ish last year when admittedly not even going for it.

jenkins will be adjusting to NOP and may not run that well

Rupp

IhatetheOP wrote:

Followed by Ches

Not American

Rupp has already gone under 13

Only other candidate I can think of is Chelanga (13:04 indoors and 27:08).

Jager is probably in the best 5k shape of all of them, but least likely to get in the right 5k. Chelanga could be my next pick but also less likely to run a fast 5k anytime soon (he's running the marathon trials). So I'll go with True, then Hill.

I believe Eric Jenkins will be under in a few years, he just has to get used to all of the changes in his training, now that he trains with the ORPJT.

No love for Derrick?

Riley Masters

Jager has the best raw ability to go the fastest over 5k but probably won't race the distance in any significant races.

By default I would choose Jenkins. He's close already.

I think Matt Centrowitz dropped a 13:19 last year in his one attempt at the distance. It would be interesting to see wait he might be capable of doing over the 5k distance after the Olympics next year.

Bold prediction: Andrew Hunter is capable of going well under 14 minutes right now. I'd put him at 13:45 if I had to guess. In 3 years or so he could definitely be another name to watch for the sub 13 club.

cliff banger wrote:

I'd put him at 13:45 if I had to guess. In 3 years or so he could definitely be another name to watch for the sub 13 club.

LOL. Yes, during his junior year in college at Oregon Hunter will run sub 13. That's not bold that's just being really really really dumb. That's like saying the #1 guy in NCAA Basketball right now will not only will be the best player in the NBA in three years, but also be one of the best of all time.

Ever heard of Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, Dwight Howard, Kevin Garnett, or Moses Malone?

iron pills for lunch wrote:

cliff banger wrote:

I'd put him at 13:45 if I had to guess. In 3 years or so he could definitely be another name to watch for the sub 13 club.

LOL. Yes, during his junior year in college at Oregon Hunter will run sub 13. That's not bold that's just being really really really dumb. That's like saying the #1 guy in NCAA Basketball right now will not only will be the best player in the NBA in three years, but also be one of the best of all time.

Cream pants wrote:

Ever heard of Kobe Bryant, LeBron James, Dwight Howard, Kevin Garnett, or Moses Malone?

iron pills for lunch wrote:

LOL. Yes, during his junior year in college at Oregon Hunter will run sub 13. That's not bold that's just being really really really dumb. That's like saying the #1 guy in NCAA Basketball right now will not only will be the best player in the NBA in three years, but also be one of the best of all time.

I think you missed the point.

Jager always gets in at least one fast 5000 each year, and he has been close to sub-13 at least once. I'm going with him. True is willing to push for it, so I think he is in the mix as well. Don't see Derrick doing it. Jenkins...we'll see how he transitions to the pro ranks. Some athletes see a big jump, others see a fall back. Bumbalough seemed on track a couple of years ago, but has stalled/been hurt. This year will likely tell the tale on him.

Waiting American wrote:

Rupp has already gone under 13

Rupp was doped to the gills, so that does not count.

Is it even possible for a clean athlete to break 13?

Seriously, all sub-13 guys look like dopers to me

Waiting American wrote:

Rupp has already gone under 13

The topic is "next American to go sub13" not "next American to go sub13 who has never gone sub13 before".

Cam Levins

I'll go with Ben True - he's consistent, a workhorse and he focuses on the 5000. 1302 pr.

but also a new American - Ches or Chelanga.

I'm worried about jenkins - too far too fast - probably he's due for a plateau.