his score after day 1: 4703
events to come: (his SB) ( his PR)
110mH 13.38 13.35
Discus 42.03 47.36
High Jump 5.40 5.40
Javelin 59.76 66.64
1500m ??? 4:14.48
if he matches his SBs, plus runs 4:20.0 in the 1500m which he hasn't run this season, he will score 9046, a new WR by 7 points.
However, it could even be easier than that. He could potentially run faster than 4:14.48, which he mustered in his WR attempt. Most of his 1500s are right around 4:20.0 which is why I guessed that. He ran 4:29 in Moscow but was just taking it easy for the win. If he runs 4:16, that's an extra 27 points. Not unreasonable.
In Eugene '12, it's worth noting that his cores were as follows in day 2:
13.70 (not very good for him, he could gain up to 40-50 pts here)
42.81 (4.5m short of his PR 47.36m)
5.30 (good effort, dunno what his PR was in '12 but its 5.4 now)
58.87 (PR improved to 66m last year, dunno his '12 PR)
any thoughts? I'm predicting he scores 9020 at least, officially I'll predict a new WR of 9049.
my exact predictions for his individual events:
HJ 5.25 (I dunno the height progression, 5.25 may not be an option)