More good advice above.
My daughter is looking at top running schools as indicated by the list of schools in my first posting.
I know of the extremely high wash out rate after updating my spreadsheet of runners returning to one of the schools. Most were freshmen. All of these girls had no times on tfrrs.org so I assume they or the coaches decided to end their participation on the team since they were not fast enough to compete. I would have steered my daughter away from many teams if I did not think she could score points for the team by her second year on the team if not the first. My daughter times have been improving every year so I think she can be even more competitive by the time she enters college. We are not concerned that my daughter will get lost on the team her freshmen year. She would be the top distance recruit that all of her top teams have had for several years. They would not offer a significant scholarship without planning to also invest their time in her developing her into one of their top runners. I have asked some coaches some very direct questions regarding their interest and commitment when I see the quality of their recruiting classes every year. Many are recruiting 3 to 6 talented distance runners each year. Not all of them will be able to contribute points at conference championships.
I brought up the question of transfers out of a program with one coach. The coach was very open about why the individuals chose to transfer.
The point of the extreme high wash out rate should be a warning to others reading this. I have met and followed many other high school runners and hope they find the best fit where they can succeed academically and athletically. I hope they just don't pick a competitive D1 school because they want to run on such a school when they actually don't have the times to indicate they will get to compete for several years if ever. They may have been much happier and more successful picking a team where their high school times were close to the times of others who had success on the team.
I have not discussed other details that my daughter is considering because all else is equal at this point and she is near the end of the recruiting process. I think she has covered the other more important aspects of recruiting. She has spoken with runners at several schools and knows some of them personally. We have spoken with the coaches on unofficial visits and have seen some coaching their teams at meets or practices. She has been e-mailing and occasional calling the coaches for nearly a year. They have been calling her every few weeks during the summer. She is strong academically but looking at a demanding degree. She has spoken to coaches and some runners in the field of study to learn how they handled it. The field of study and her ability to get a degree in her area of interest has been my primary concern all along. I have been more concerned that she get into her field of study of choice and succeed and get the degree. Running has been her choice to do and she would likely go to one of her top choices even if she decided to stop running tomorrow. She has the ACT/SAT scores she needs.
I struggled in college at times but still ended up getting the degree I wanted from the start in a very challenging field and have had a successful career that I have enjoyed. I know what she may be facing regarding challenging degree program. I want her to be able to succeed academically too.
The scholarship money later years is another question I have but did not ask yet. I know some who have received a little more money later years as they improved. I don't know whether or not coaches reduce the scholarship in later years if runners do not improve.
Good advice from everyone above once again.
We have never been focused on the amount of the scholarship. I have turned the discussion back to academics and other factors when the discussion seemed to only focus on the team and coach. When someone has brought up the post collegiate running such as the Olympics I have always pointed out how few colligate runners have successful post collegiate careers and how little money most of those earn running. My daughter is focused on her studies and looking forward to running while earning a degree. One of her top choices is an excellent in-state school and team and I am well aware of the some of the advantages of staying in-state.
Do any runners receive a 4 year guarantee? I assumed football and basketball players had a shot at receiving a 4 year guarantee.
I intentionally left off one or more top schools/teams that are recruiting my daughter and included some others not recruiting her for privacy reasons. If I put too many details regarding her times and colleges then it would be easy to identify us. Some top schools may not have a degree program in my daughter's desired field of study. I may have also left off some that chose not to recruit her. Some of these may be in your list. I have nothing against the schools in your list but have to say I am disappointed in the actions of some of the men on one team. My list was not meant to include all schools she contacted or schools that others should consider. If I had thought to post a question here in September of 2014 I would have asked for college recommendations and would have needed much of the other advice provided by you and others. I did find useful information posted previously. I listed some colleges to let others know she was looking at schools that have been consistently competitive teams. She wants to go to a team that can make it to the NCAA championships and she wants to go somewhere where the team and coaching will help her improve her times. She wants to be able to
contribute to the team too.
I think any of the top schools on her list would be a good fit.
Thanks for answering my question. Those numbers are about what I was guessing. I appreciate the confirmation that my guess may be reasonable. I understand coaches have to be interested in recruiting a mid-distance athlete enough to offer a substantial scholarship and also have the available scholarship money.
I hope other parents and high school athletes find this and other useful discussions about the recruiting process. I want to thank everyone for their responses.