Beijing 2015 100m final predictions

Gatlin will win no question. Vicault silver I think, provided he doesn't get injured. Gay bronze. Powell 5th

Who comes 4th? Bolt? Bromell?

Andre de grasse might get 4th, assuming he doesn't blow up in a bad way before then. Won NCAAs and beat Bromell I think.

I think the only person capable of touching Gatlin is de Grasse. Thus far, there are two guys coached by Caryl Smith Gilbert--de Grasse and Beejay Lee--and they have both been running PRs just about every race, and they're going to face off in Pan Ams. There is no indication thus far of de Grasse being cooked--he just ran his wind legal PR in his last race.

I think the present situation continues, and it will be Gatlin and De Grasse in some order.

Beijing is a championship meet and Powell is Powell when the chips are on the table, and I think you know what that means. Gay overcame a terrible start in Lausanne to just about overtake Powell, and I think John Smith gets that start repaired by the WC.

Gatlin

de Grasse

Gay

Bromell

Powell

The way things have been going, I think de Grasse wins next year in the Olympics and possibly breaking the WR, which is not very far from where he has been this year, and for a guy that has only been sprinting for 3 years....

True. DeGrasse beat Bromell over 100 & 200 at NCAA's division I meet. Is he going to the world championships though?

And as far as Usain Bolt, can he come down from 10.12 to 9.83 or so? I doubt it, but won't be overly surprised should he do so.

And for Gatlin, I think he stayed close to peak fitness since the Olympics in London, so with 9.74, 9.75 & 9.75 back to back this year, I don't see him going faster. Slower actually, after running rounds. But he's still going to win

What are DeGrasse's PBs in the 100 & 200? If you know the wind too that would be helpful

Sprinting & Middle Distance wrote:

True. DeGrasse beat Bromell over 100 & 200 at NCAA's division I meet. Is he going to the world championships though?

DeGrasse is a Canadian citizen (but he competes in the NCAA) so his path to the WCs is much easier. He dominated the Candadian 100m champs so he will be going.

I'd call him more of a wild card for a medal because he's such a late bloomer (well, he's an early bloomer considering how little experience he's had, but late in terms of the season). I don't see him winning or beating Gatlin / Gay but bronze is a possibility this year.

Gatlin, Gay, Powell.

Usain DNS unfortunately.

bolt won't run.that's the only predicting i'm going to do.nice analysis by the way!

I feel like in retrospect to 2007 & 2008 100m finals, and 2009 as well to some degree, Powell could have run much faster and will run harder this year than in years past. Not enough to beat Gatlin, but just like in their last race, I don't think Gay can beat Powell anymore. Sad to say, I think Tyson Gay is well past his prime. And to go in a different direction for a moment, after that failed drug test, I'm not ready to believe he ever was capable of sub 9.9. As a matter of fact, since the East Germans seemed to demonstrate 5% (0.5s) improvement in performance when using steroids, I'm not convinced anyone has ever cleanly gone sub 10.10. Just my humble opinion though.

I completely forgot about de Grasse! He hasn't run any insane times since NCAAs (though he did record a legal sub 10 in a competition he wouldn't have been hard pressed to beat) but his times there, even though windy seem to place him right there in the medal hunt.

I am going to amend my previous guess:

Gold: still Gatlin

Silver: De Grasse

Bronze: Brommell

Vicault for 4th, Powell flakes and runs 5th. Bolt, I agree with the above poster will be a no show.

These young guys have such potential, especially de Grasse. I think coach d is right saying he has a shot at gold on Rio. But this year, I feel like no one is beating Gatlin.

(And just to be complete, I think the final will be Gay, Gatlin, Vicault, Brommell, de Grasse, Ogunade (I get the two Qatari sprinters mixed up so I might have the name wrong), Bledmon, Powell.

I'm going to echo Flo'da Boy's list.

Also, glad to see some sprint fans on here. Although I'm primarily a distance guy myself, I'm a total track and field fan, and I'd love to see more fans of more than just distance on here.

Bump