Starting from 7 laps to go
Finish Line/Foot touches water barrier/Foot touches down off final barrier.
0:36.8 (00.0) /1:15.1 (38.3)/1:28.3 (13.2)
1:38.9 (10.6) /2:18.9 (40.0)/ 2:32.4 (13.5)
2:43.1 (10.7)/ 3:22.3 (39.2)/ Skips
Skip to water 2 laps later 5:28.7/5:42.0(13.3)
5:52.6(10.6) 6:32.4 (39.8) 6:45.3 (13.1)
6:55.8 (10.5) 7:34.6 (38.9) 7:47.6 (13.0)
Jager was running very well but losing steam as was almost a second faster from the finish line to the water on his last lap than on his penultimate but merely a tenth faster from the water to the final barrier. There is absolutely zero evidence he would have broken 10 from the final barrier in. His best split for that segment had been 10.5 from the previous lap. If he matches that, he runs
7:58.1. If he kicks absolutely huge he runs 10.0 for a 7:57.6.