What would happen if America just left the middle east?

unfortunately we've gone in , destabalized it and now have caused chaos. I really don't know what the answer is as far as how long it would take to let it stabalize, but as soon as we leave it will begin...

It could take decades.

97 years too late.

Best case scenario? The power struggle between Iran and Saudi Arabia leads to the formation of several tense, semi-stable Sunni and Shia autocracies similar to pre-revolution Syria. There will be regular, short spurts of violence and terrorist, proxy wars, and widespread human rights abuses, but law and order will remain.

Worst case scenario? Multiple failed states (Yemen, Syria, Lybia, Iraq) that are much like Somalia today: horrific places to live, breeding grounds for violent extremism, and a safe haven for terrorist groups. The Islamic State might actually be able to consolidate territory and establish itself as a real, if unrecognized, state. Within its borders, the worst human rights atrocities seen in nearly a century would surely take place. If the Islamic State were to create a stable, functioning state, they could turn their attention to launching terrorist attacks at Western countries, using their ample supply of Western citizens currently fighting as footsoldiers as battle-hardened terror operatives.

Israel would likely continue establishing settlements and all hopes of a two-state solution would evaporate. Its economic and military strength, however, would ensure that it would never face an existential risk.

ISIS would take over 15-18 countries and would establish itself as a regional superpower. Then we would be forced into nuclear war to finish them off before they launch at us.

no. ISIS will never have nukes.. they don't have the organization or complexity and iran would get involved before that nonsense happened..

they would go on milling around, killing each other eventually, in waring bands of cluelessness... as they should. there is nothing to over take in the middle east. no ground worth claiming. and they can get USA with rpg's.. they would just be stuck and nothing would happen...

Israel would immediately get attacked by both terrorists and possibly a few states. The ensuing war would end with either the destruction of Israel or a long, drawn-out insurgency conflict that would be impossible for either side to win. Armed terror groups would pop up everywhere and expand largely unchecked, turning their attention to regional powers (Saudi Arabia, UAE, etc) and later America and Europe. ISIS would become a full blown nation state and would likely start launching attacks against the free world.

Regional governments would likely try to step in and fight the terror groups, creating something of a common purpose among them but at the same time building tension as different nations back different groups.

End result: America and the free world are under constant threat of attack, there is incessant war in the region, terrorism is widespread, and the region is no more stable than it was before. The obvious answer is to retain limited involvement in the middle east to ensure security.

I will invade Saudi Arabia and i will control the world's biggest oil fields the price of barrel will skyrocket to $200

Everything you described is essentially already happening. and thus provides no more reason to be involved if the result of leaving is the same.

ISIS attacking the free world (feebly) and we are threatened now. the extent of the threats won't change without nukes either

Isreal being attacked, with said stalemate

armed terror groups ARE everywhere

regional powers Iran,SA,Jordan will not get attacked (too strong and too close)

So, take America out... and you have the same thing. But we would have more money for Americans. That's patriotic.

Israel will just start dropping nukes on everybody around them.

How else would will it survive?

We'd all die.

Sales people would move in from everywhere and a New China or New India would emerge. (Read: we'd sell $B of Hollywood Porno).

Chances are just as good that would happen if we stayed in the middle east.

Carnivore 69 wrote:

ISIS would take over 15-18 countries and would establish itself as a regional superpower. Then we would be forced into nuclear war to finish them off before they launch at us.

Millions of racist, foreign invaders would return to Russia and Europe and America.

What will happen to the maize machines?

The moving and packing industry?

We need to THINK people!

The US economy would collapse because there aren't enough Wal-Marts to employ that many former soldiers.

Never mind what would happen in the middle east, whatever it is wouldn't be any worse than if the US stayed there. Indochina was a mess after the US left but it's fine now and better than before.

Anyone who buys into this imperial responsibility nonsense is a fool. The US military isn't doing other countries any favors by occupying them. It's just an excuse to keep military industry people employed.

Bad Wigins wrote:

The US economy would collapse because there aren't enough Wal-Marts to employ that many former soldiers.

Never mind what would happen in the middle east, whatever it is wouldn't be any worse than if the US stayed there. Indochina was a mess after the US left but it's fine now and better than before.

Anyone who buys into this imperial responsibility nonsense is a fool. The US military isn't doing other countries any favors by occupying them. It's just an excuse to keep military industry people employed.

It would take 20-50 years for things to stabilize and then the Middle East would thrive very nicely. Just like Korea, China, SE Asia, Japan, and India have done very well after the UK and US had to leave.

I don't care what he result would be for them; only how it would affect us.