I think you guys need to get a handle on the whole "thumsb up/thumbs down" thing. See, as I understand it, you can't tsk-tsk anyone for thinking that Cheserek is vulnerable until AFTER he makes them look bad by winning Nationals. Because, see, the race isn't until Saturday, and as you admit in your assessment of the team race, anything can happen because it's cross-country, right?
Cheserek's dominant when he's on but in high school he was often erratic in a favorite's role. He does better when the pressure's not on him, as with last year's NCAA final. I still think he'll win...in a parallel universe. He won't even be tops for Oregon this time.