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50 shades of EP0
LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 5:19AM Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
who ya got?

hows it gonna play out ?

editor's note: We're glad this thread was started we're adding the LRC thoughts in this first post

Letsrun.com:
Glad someone started this thread. We were just about to post some thoughts.

1) This is Asbel Kiprop’s (and Silas Kiplagat’s) Race To Lose - Don’t Be Surprised By A Kenyan Sweep

Here’s a stat for you. There are 12 men in the 1500 final. Do you realize that defending champion Asbel Kiprop has a seasonal best time in the 1500 that is 4.61 seconds, yes nearly 5 seconds, better than anyone else in the field?
That’s absurd.

Kiprop has run 3:27.72 and Gebremedhin has run 3:32.43.
Now, that stat is a little misleading as it doesn’t include the mile. For the mile, Kiprop is #2 on the list at 3:49.53 behind Silas Kiplagat at 3:49.48. The third fastest guy is the third Kenyan Nixon Chepseba at 3:50.95.

The next fastest miler this year? American Matt Centrowitz at 3:51.79. Kiprop and Kiplagat are two plus seconds better than everyone else and should go 1-2.

2) Will the Kenyans work together to set the pace or will they possibly sacrifice Chepseba to set up Kiplagat and Kiprop?

If Chepseba sets the pace, we don’t see how Kenya doens’t go 1-2. The issue is the Chepseba may not want to sacrifice himself. If we were the Kenyan coach, we’d do one of two things.

i) If we wanted to be fair and give guys all a shot, we do the following. “Hey guys were going to make sure the opening 800 is no slower than 1:55.0. We’ll draw straws to see who takes lap #1 and who takes lap #2, after that you are on your own.

ii) Alternatively, we’d go up to Kiprop and Kiplagat and say, “Hey you guys are going to give Nixon half your prize money. Nixon, here’s $25,000. Take this out for the 1st 1000 on 3:30 pace.

3) Don’t Be Surprised to see Centrowitz on the medal stand
A Kenyan sweep is a possibility but if one of them sets the pace, it may be tough. Behind the three Kenyans, the next best guy both on paper and the way he looked in the rounds is Centrowitz, who looked amazing in the semifinals and is tremendous in tactical races. Yes, the Gebremedhin has run faster but he was just 12th at Pre and 14th in Paris.
doctorfreeman
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 6:14AM - in reply to 50 shades of EP0 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Centro 3rd.
track chick
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 6:21AM - in reply to doctorfreeman Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I've got

1. Kiprop
2. Kiplagat
3. Souleiman

I'm not doing well in the contest. When I realised my place wasn't so good, I changed some to make crazy predictions (like in the men's marathon!) in the hope that I might jump up... it was a bad idea.
track chick
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 6:24AM - in reply to track chick Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
(obviously I don't think souleiman will get 3rd as he's not in it, but that was what i picked, before he got knocked out).
LetsRun.com
your benevolent dictator
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 7:55AM - in reply to 50 shades of EP0 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Glad someone started this thread. We were just about to post some thoughts.

1) This is Asbel Kiprop’s (and Silas Kiplagat’s) Race To Lose - Don’t Be Surprised By A Kenyan Sweep

Here’s a stat for you. There are 12 men in the 1500 final. Do you realize that defending champion Asbel Kiprop has a seasonal best time in the 1500 that is 4.61 seconds, yes nearly 5 seconds, better than anyone else in the field?
That’s absurd.

Kiprop has run 3:27.72 and Gebremedhin has run 3:32.43.
Now, that stat is a little misleading as it doesn’t include the mile. For the mile, Kiprop is #2 on the list at 3:49.53 behind Silas Kiplagat at 3:49.48. The third fastest guy is the third Kenyan Nixon Chepseba at 3:50.95.

The next fastest miler this year? American Matt Centrowitz at 3:51.79. Kiprop and Kiplagat are two plus seconds better than everyone else and should go 1-2.

2) Will the Kenyans work together to set the pace or will they possibly sacrifice Chepseba to set up Kiplagat and Kiprop?

If Chepseba sets the pace, we don’t see how Kenya doens’t go 1-2. The issue is the Chepseba may not want to sacrifice himself. If we were the Kenyan coach, we’d do one of two things.

i) If we wanted to be fair and give guys all a shot, we do the following. “Hey guys were going to make sure the opening 800 is no slower than 1:55.0. We’ll draw straws to see who takes lap #1 and who takes lap #2, after that you are on your own.

ii) Alternatively, we’d go up to Kiprop and Kiplagat and say, “Hey you guys are going to give Nixon half your prize money. Nixon, here’s $25,000. Take this out for the 1st 1000 on 3:30 pace.

3) Don’t Be Surprised to see Centrowitz on the medal stand
A Kenyan sweep is a possibility but if one of them sets the pace, it may be tough. Behind the three Kenyans, the next best guy both on paper and the way he looked in the rounds is Centrowitz, who looked amazing in the semifinals and is tremendous in tactical races. Yes, the Gebremedhin has run faster but he was just 12th at Pre and 14th in Paris.
miler guy
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:06AM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Centro is going to SHOCK THE WORLD!
mitchellmac2
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:14AM - in reply to miler guy Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Anyone know where I can get a link to watch it?
themanontherun
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:14AM - in reply to 50 shades of EP0 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Does anyone have a link to the live stream please?
themanontherun
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:17AM - in reply to themanontherun Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
-80 below zero
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:17AM - in reply to themanontherun Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
watchathletics.com livestream 1-3
Gay Marxist
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:20AM - in reply to 50 shades of EP0 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Zero chance of a Centro medal.
wrong wong wong
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:20AM - in reply to themanontherun Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
no results posted for last relay heat, they through with it yet, anyone watching?
Ben L. Wrong
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:22AM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
No Makh-daddy, no Leo, no Iguider...it's all open for Centro hahaha.
wrong wong wong
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:22AM - in reply to wrong wong wong Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
now they're posted, lets get a 1500 on!
miler guy
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:22AM - in reply to Gay Marxist Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

Gay Marxist wrote:

Zero chance of a Centro medal.


Not you again! You're Centro bashing has no basis in reality. I know it's early, but WAKE UP! Of course he has a chance.
billy idol
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:25AM - in reply to miler guy Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
it's a nice day for a white podium
it's a nice day to start a race
long sox
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:26AM - in reply to 50 shades of EP0 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Kiprop, Kiplagat, not sure after that.
Ben L. Wrong
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:27AM - in reply to miler guy Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
ohh my god...chepseba AKA Kaouch
miler guy
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:29AM - in reply to wrong wong wong Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Centro silver!
haha
RE: LETSRUN OFFICIAL 1500m THREAD! 8/18/2013 8:29AM - in reply to miler guy Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Welp stream went out and dont think its coming back in the next 35 seconds for the last 250.
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