Yes or no, and why
Yes or no, and why
If the pace goes out fast: no
If the pace goes out slow: desvastating kick ftw
I wouldn't be shocked if the ran 4:02 off a fast pace though.
I agree, however, if she does qualify, the question becomes can she continue to improve and make a final let alone have a chance to medal off of a tactical pace. Long season for sure. I hope she does.
1) No
2) She will not beat enough of her fellow U.S. citizens to qualify.
Yes. She's slower than Mackey, Moser, Simpson, and Martinez, and faster this year than Uceny, Rowbury, etc. Her principal threat for third place is Gabriele Anderson.
Yes. Cain has consistently shown a great kick, even off a fast pace. It's unlikely that anyone will take the first 1000 fast enough to put Cain far enough back to not be in the hunt for top three with 200 to go. If she's in the hunt, I think she'll make the team.
1. Simpson
2. Moser
3 Cain
Yes...too big of a finish not too.
The real question is, can she win it all?
Under the assumption that Martinez is going for the 8 and not the 15. If Martinez also runs the 15, then I say:
1. Simpson
2. Martinez
3. 50% chance Moser, 30% chance Cain, 20% chance Anderson
Guys. Simpson is already spot number one by default.
We get 3 MORE spots.
Simpson is using her 1500 wild card and is not in the 1500...
Yes she is going to make it. alsal knows how to peak his runners and if she can peak anymore she should make it
No
Yes. Time and ability -wise she's in the top 7 or 8. Unlike the others, though, this race for her will be free of pressure. She's going to Moscow.
She will make it. Pace will be slow
I didn't pick her for my top 3 in the contest.... But I would be ecstatic if she snuck in
Yes
I can't pick a single runner on that list who is more ready and more capable right now than Mary Cain.
No, her career peaked early and she is now DONE
Yes - because AlSal wants it to happen
Moser
Mackey&Rowbury
Another yogfest
Rowbury for the win after stringing it out with 500 m to go, cain kicks hard over last 300 to get third place, mosier hangs on for second. Uceny ends up in 4th because her kick isnt as lethal as it should have been the last two years in the finals. If anyone can steal it they need sub 2 800, or 15 flat 5k strength ( for example Christian worth thomas type tactics). It sure will not be a cakewalk though. I think the 1st rd will be 4:13 tactical. SO Cain and the rest of the kickers should be well rested