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adsfasdf
Next American Under 13 5/21/2013 8:49AM Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I think 2 of the following guys will break 13 minutes in the 5k this year by the end of the summer:

Lomong
True
Derrick
Jager
Bumbalough
joho
RE: Next American Under 13 5/21/2013 8:52AM - in reply to adsfasdf Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Good list. There could be more than 2. That would be awesome to see. I would love to see Jager do it.
just sayin
RE: Next American Under 13 5/21/2013 8:53AM - in reply to adsfasdf Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
True will run fast this weekend at the Adidas Grand Prix. Possibly sub 13:10

Derrick and Hassan Mead are in the stacked 5k at Pre.

Lomong is due for a sub 13
Weless
RE: Next American Under 13 5/21/2013 9:05AM - in reply to just sayin Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Mary Cain
table
RE: Next American Under 13 5/21/2013 9:25AM - in reply to Weless Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

Weless wrote:

Mary Cain


I like it! The dark horse pick!

But in all seriousness...Ben True. With Dejen and Hagos in the adidas GP with him this weekend, I bet like hell he will try to hang on.
Copernicus Sam
RE: Next American Under 13 5/21/2013 10:06AM - in reply to table Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
You are forgetting German Fernandez who will shock with a 12:53
Ma boi jager
RE: Next American Under 13 5/21/2013 10:14AM - in reply to adsfasdf Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
i really like Evan jager on this one... hopefully ben true will do it also.
Currious
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 7:59PM - in reply to Ma boi jager Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Lomong will do it but no one else. Jäger will turn his attention to the steeple. True 13:10ish, Derrick 13:05ish, Bumbalough ?

What is the plan for Bumbalough? Didn't run Oxy, not in Pre, no A standards...something doesn't seem to be going according to plan, or the plan seems mysterious if there is one. Can anyone shed some light on this?
Consider This
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 8:04PM - in reply to Currious Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Galen Rupp. If you mean the next American under thirteen who hasn't previously run under 13, then I'm going with Lopez Lomong.
Flortracker
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 8:11PM - in reply to Consider This Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Derrick - 13:06
Jager- 12:58
Lomong- 13:01
True- 13:05
webby
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 8:44PM - in reply to Flortracker Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Derrick next year.
Hungry Hippo
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 8:52PM - in reply to webby Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

webby wrote:

Derrick next year.


I agree. Unless Lomong does it this year, which I am not sure he will, I don't think anyone new will go sub-13 until chasing PR's next year. And I think Derrick is gonna be the one to do it.
RunWild
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 9:22PM - in reply to adsfasdf Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Lomong will probably be 13:0x
True will probably be another 13:0x
Derrick may only be 13:0x by the end of this season, but I could possibly see him threatening 12:55 (if not 12:50) in his prime
Jager may be a 13:0x guy this season, but I could see him threatening 13:00 as well in his prime (as well as 8:00 SC)
Bumbi won't break 13:10 at all

As for Levins: I could see him close to 13:00 and under 27 this season, but I think he is much more likely to break 26:40 than he is to run 12:55. Could be a great marathoner in the next 5-10 years if Salazar finally figures it out (expect him to go up once Rupp goes up)
Thisisafactman
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 10:38PM - in reply to adsfasdf Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I question if Derrick has the wheels at this point to break 13 given his 3:40 at Oxy. Guys like Rupp, Solinsky, Lagat and Teg were all at least 5 secs faster at 1500m when they broke 13. He needs some Rupp-style long term speed development. Sadly he won't get that from Schu.
casual commentary
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 11:48PM - in reply to Thisisafactman Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

Thisisafactman wrote:

I question if Derrick has the wheels at this point to break 13 given his 3:40 at Oxy. Guys like Rupp, Solinsky, Lagat and Teg were all at least 5 secs faster at 1500m when they broke 13. He needs some Rupp-style long term speed development. Sadly he won't get that from Schu.


Remember that Ritz ran 12:56. Not exactly a speedster, that one.

Lomong or Derrick have the best chance this year IMO.
erwerwe
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 11:51PM - in reply to Thisisafactman Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

Thisisafactman wrote:

I question if Derrick has the wheels at this point to break 13 given his 3:40 at Oxy. Guys like Rupp, Solinsky, Lagat and Teg were all at least 5 secs faster at 1500m when they broke 13. He needs some Rupp-style long term speed development. Sadly he won't get that from Schu.


And then there was Ritz who went 12:56...I think Derrick is faster than Ritz.

Lomong will be under 13 this year, say 12:58.
True - 13:08
Derrick - 13:04, under 13 next year
Webb - 13:26
Bumbalough - has bad year, no PR
Jager - no improvement until after WC, then 13:07
Mead - 13:11
Cain - 15:27
Currious
RE: Next American Under 13 5/22/2013 11:56PM - in reply to erwerwe Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Lomong 12:59
Derrick 13:05
Jäger 13:09
Bumbalough 13:10
True 13:10
george oscar bluth
RE: Next American Under 13 5/23/2013 12:03AM - in reply to adsfasdf Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
0 or 1 newbies this year. If it is 1, it is Lomong.
reed
RE: Next American Under 13 5/23/2013 12:08AM - in reply to george oscar bluth Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
i don't think jager will do it, but lomong certainly should.

lomong is your best bet this year, along with levins. i think we'll see rupp, lagat, levins, and lomong as our only sub 13s for USA this year.
Good Wigins
RE: Next American Under 13 5/23/2013 12:15AM - in reply to reed Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

reed wrote:

i don't think jager will do it, but lomong certainly should.

lomong is your best bet this year, along with levins. i think we'll see rupp, lagat, levins, and lomong as our only sub 13s for USA this year.



I thought Levins was Canadian...
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