Facts: 7th grade, 1600 5:15, 18:45 5K, current height and weight 5'7.5, 115, puberty slightly ahead of average, run 15 mpw six months out of the year
Assumptions: 8th grade mileage increases to between 15-20 mpw for six to nine months of year, high school coach is adequate or better than average and male in question progresses from 30 mpw as Freshman to 60 mpw as Senior, above average work ethic
Unknowns: prone to injury or not, eventual build/height of subject
Will the subject ever break the following? Give a percentage as your guess:
Break 5:00?
Break 4:30?
Break 4:10?
Break 4:00?