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Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/4/2012 11:10PM Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
http://www.runnerstribe.com/article/16153-Bett-hopes-to-break-ZATOPEK10-record

The race will be shown live on athsvicTV "allowing athletics fans around Australia and the world to tune in." The broadcast starts at 5:50 pm in Melbourne on Saturday which means 1:50 am ET in the morning on Friday night/Saturday morning here as Melbourne is 16 hours ahead.

Spence recently ran 25:22 for 8k on the roards, which according to the McMillan calculator converts to 31:55 for 10,000. According to LetsRun.com coaching/stat guru John Kellogg's conversion chart - http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=1739614 - it's equal to 32:06.

The 2012 world leader in the men's 10,000 - Emmanuel Bett - who ran 26:51 this year - not 26:15 as the article states - is also running and hoping to beat the men's meet record.

I'd love to see Spence get the IAAF A of 31:45 but wonder if she'll even go for that. Let's hope so.

Anyone from Hanson's know the scoop?
surprised
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/4/2012 11:24PM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I will be surprised if she breaks 32.
Just my guess
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 2:09AM - in reply to surprised Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

surprised wrote:

I will be surprised if she breaks 32.


She just ran 25:2x for 8k on the road.

I say she is good for a mid to upper 31 on the track.
girlwithadvice
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 2:12AM - in reply to Just my guess Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
It is going to be shocking conditions on Saturday in Melbourne. It is going to be 37 degrees Celsius (99 degrees farenheight), with high winds, which at the venue where the race is taking place, will probably be very difficult for athletes to negotiate because the venue is extremely open to the elements. Then a cool change is going to come later in the evening and dump a lot of rain on Melbourne. Probably not the best conditions for a fast time. Nonetheless, the racing will still be good!
rebelscum
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 4:46AM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
32:06. JK knows all.
Green Apples!
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 7:04AM - in reply to rebelscum Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
32:15, Looks like she may have to run a lot of the race on her own. This will set her up for a sub 31:45 in the spring.
Billy Ray Valentine, Capricorn
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 7:09AM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I really like Spence, but didn't she just get spanked in her leg of the Chiba Ekiden? Doesn't bode well for a 31:45.
JapanEkiden
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 7:26AM - in reply to Billy Ray Valentine, Capricorn Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
She got beat by two people apparently better then her, both of those girls were on the Olympic team for Kenya and Japan. The predictions on here are going to range from 31:45 to around 32:30 compared to their PR's of 30:38 and 30:58.

Neely's anchor leg was 23 seconds faster then Janet Bawcom closed the same leg last year.

I think she will run around 32:20
Random Shmo
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 8:31AM - in reply to JapanEkiden Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
They got Bett's time wrong in the article. Anyone notice? 26:51, not 26:15. Just a typo I'm sure, but should be corrected...
read further
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 8:56AM - in reply to Random Shmo Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
The OP noticed, which is why he pointed it out...
Male Pig
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 9:39AM - in reply to read further Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
No records this year. With the 90 degree high on Saturday anyone within a minute of their goal will be running well.

Male winner 27:56

Female winner 33:02
Mr Crane
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 9:41AM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
33:XX

The usual tough conditions.
Michiganman
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 9:49AM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
This is not Neely's debut in the 10k. She ran in the US ladies 10k championships last October and finished 3rd in 32:50.
PandP
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 10:07AM - in reply to Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I just looked up the forecast of a high of 90 so it could be in the 70's by racetime
The Thing from Another Thing
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 11:58AM - in reply to Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Not only did they get Bett's time wrong, but unless I'm blind (which is possible), they also didn't say what the Zatopek record is that he's going for and, for those who don't know, they don't even say that this thing is in Melbourne.
master pacer
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 12:52PM - in reply to The Thing from Another Thing Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
32 seconds faster than her dad if he is allowed to run in the race.
Angry, Off-Topic and Plastered
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 1:28PM - in reply to master pacer Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
25:22 on the Richmond course is probably closer to 25:40-25:45 on an unaided course. Then again people tend to run faster on the track than on even a flat-as-can-be road course, so there's that.

But if it's going to be 113 degrees with 74-mile-and-hour winds I say no faster than 32:11
J.R.
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 3:03PM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Strangely, my prediction last night that she won't break 32 minutes was removed.
Montesquieu
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 4:56PM - in reply to LetsRun.com Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
32:31.19
Runner Mass
RE: Neely Spence To Make Her 10,000 Debut This Weekend At 2012 Zatopek in Australia - Make Your Predictions Please 12/5/2012 5:16PM - in reply to Montesquieu Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
31:15 !
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