Regardless of the speculation about who will win, what do you think is the performance in the sprints and distances that will be needed to win a gold medal?
I really don't know, if the weather will be bad perhaps or the track is windy, but for a start I assume they build a wind resistant stadium and weather is fine.
100m - 9.73
200m - 19.51
400m - 44.02
800m - 1:42.22
1500m - 3:31.54
5000m - 13:03
10000m - 26:51
Marathon - 2:06
Good list. I'm hoping the times are in line with your guesses. The fields are certainly strong enough to produce times like this. Hopefully the weather conditions are OK.
With the 5k I thought nobody will take it as fast as Bekele in '08 but they will close fast enough so that they will get close but not under 13 minutes. Or will it take 12:51 to medal ;-) Will the conditions be Rupp certified? no, seriously, will Rupp run with a mask in an Olympic final if there is a high pollen count?!
100 and 200 will be doped as shit: I can see 9.60 and 19.35 happening.
400 will be close to 44 flat.
Rushida will take the 800 out hard and will win somewhere in the 1:42 range.
I don't see the 1500 happening as fast as some people think. Probably a slow first couple of laps with runners really cranking it up at 800-900 meters. 3:32-3:33 winning time.
Steeple will be won in around 8:04.
No one will break 13 in the 5,000. 13:04 for the win.
26:50 for the 10,000.
2:06:30 - 2:07 for the marathon.
12.90 for 110 meter hurdles - doped Aires Merritt ftw.
100m: 9.65 -Blake
200m: 19.1 -Blake
400m: 44.1 -Merritt
800m: 1:43.1 -Rudisha
1500m: 3:34 -Kiprop
5000m: 13:18 -Lagat
10000m: 26:50 -Bekele
110HH: 12.93 -Liu
400H: 47.8 -Culson
I'm not even going to try for the marathon. Maybe I'll do one for the women later.
You may be right on with the 13:03 guess. I'd like to see a faster race with a sub 13. Hard to do in an Olympic final though. It should be a great race. I hope Rupp contends for a medal down the stretch.
|My Name Is Judge|
I don't think anyone will break 13 or 27. 1500 probably won't be any faster than 3:32 as well. Jamaicans can go sub-37 in the 4x100, maybe 2:55 for the US in the 4x4
100m - 9.69
200m - 19.47
400m - 43.63
800m - 1:42.03 - 2nd - over second behind
1500m - 3:33.21
5000m - 13:11.33
10000m - 26:48.12
Steeple - 7:58
Marathon - 2:07:09
110H - 12:88
400H - 47:79
So, pretty much for every short race a good or correct prediction by someone, but the long distances were much slower than expected.
Kudos to the poster who predicted Rudisha's sub 1:41!
Its amazing how little credit people give rabbits. How many 5000s have been run sub 13:00 and 10,000s sub 27:00 without rabbits? A couple at most.
Everyone on the international stage, 1500 up, thinks they have the best kick in the field. As such, distance races tend to be slow and tactical at international competitions.
Unless there is close coordination between players in the race (see El G and his personal finals rabbit, the Ethiopians and Kenyans in past years making it an honest race in various events), it will be slow.
Interestingly, the close coordination within a given nation is gone. There are no clear favorites like El G and Bekele, and hence, no sacrificial lambs. Everyone thinks hey can win so no one serves as rabbit in the name of their country and the one favorite.