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Webbster8
Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:14PM Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Post them here! (There was a similar thread, but I couldn't get past that long winded story). Let's get right to the point here:

Qualifying round: smooth and steady the entire way, easily qualifies.

Finals: 4th place in 13:14, makes the team as one of the top 3 withdraws from the Olympics.
yoyoyoitsashow
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:18PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
13:29 tonight and finishes 7th in his heat...advances on time.

13:39 in final...dead last.

I hope I'm wrong and he finds that magic again.
A Realistic Fan
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:24PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Posted this earlier today - I don't think he makes it to the final. Too much pressure and controversy. Would be happy to be wrong though, as I'm rooting for him.
rupp-certified saladbar
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:24PM - in reply to yoyoyoitsashow Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

yoyoyoitsashow wrote:

13:29 tonight


Is that your length-of-tantrum (LoT) prediction? Because LoT is difficult to nail down for runners in their secondary events.
break it up
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:27PM - in reply to rupp-certified saladbar Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
My prediction is Webb makes the final and his presence will cause Prefontaines Oly Trials record to finally be broken. He will run probably run over 13:30 after packing it in the last 800 at 64 pace and in 5th-8th place.
yoyoyoitsashow
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:30PM - in reply to rupp-certified saladbar Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
This made me giggle...awesome


rupp-certified saladbar wrote:

[quote]yoyoyoitsashow wrote:

13:29 tonight


Is that your length-of-tantrum (LoT) prediction? Because LoT is difficult to nail down for runners in their secondary events.[/quote]
The Big Picture
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:31PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Being completely serious, Oregon crowds boos him because of how Trevor Dunbar got screwed. As for time? Won't matter because he's not going to beat Rupp, Lagat, or Lomong.
yagtash
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:33PM - in reply to yoyoyoitsashow Reply | Return to Index | Report Post

yoyoyoitsashow wrote:

13:29 tonight and finishes 7th in his heat...advances on time.

13:39 in final...dead last.

I hope I'm wrong and he finds that magic again.


^This, but 13:40 for each. I don't think 6 guys in the first heat will all have to run 13:28 or faster to get to the final.
jkhg
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:35PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
What was Webb's time in his last 5k?
yoyomama
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:36PM - in reply to jkhg Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
RukiddingMe!!
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:38PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I vote he makes it but barely....and won't do will in the final.
Mr. Obvious
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:38PM - in reply to A Realistic Fan Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I don't know, top 6 in each heat and next four time qualifiers is certainly a generous qualifying scheme. 25>16
yagtash
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:38PM - in reply to jkhg Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
last 5k was ~13:49 if i recall.

As was brought up in another thread though, he still needs the A standard, and it probably makes sense for him to go after it today with 2 days rest before the finals (and 1500 trials) than to go for 13:20 AND top 3 if he makes the final.

Mo Trafeh needs the standard too right? Perhaps some teamwork?
pete rose
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:39PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
qualifies easy. 4th in final
goooookkuuuu
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:41PM - in reply to pete rose Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
I'll say 13:18 for 5th and tomorrow 13:28 for 4th
Montesquieu
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:42PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Earlier this year, 3:39 followed thirty-five minutes later by 13:49 (pacing the 5000)--given the start lists, hard to see him not making the final. In one respect the time doesn't matter--only making it through does. However, if he makes the finals, he'll have to run sub 13:20 there, so if he can run well in the heats, it might give him confidence. However, the weather conditions look ideal for tonight, and instead of making himself a sacrificial lamb in the finals, he might decide to just take off tonight and try to get the standard. He will have seventy-hours before the finals.
ttc
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:43PM - in reply to jkhg Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Webb had tons of pressure in 2004 and won the trials. He's won 2 big nat'l champ 1500 races- the last over Lagat. When he's failed top 3 @ nat'ls, he was already off-form. He's also outperformed most every American distance runner on the world scene.
Trollist
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:45PM - in reply to Montesquieu Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
Makes the final and finished 10th+.
Mooplie
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:45PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
With his sluggish finishing speed and 13:49 5k this year, I don't expect anything faster than 13:30. However, being Alan Webb he may surprise use. Still, this 5 year slump is hard to explain. Since his great year in 2007 I don't think he has broken 3:35.

Maybe Webb will finish out his career as a 3:55 miler, which is not really a bad thing at all.
JMartin
RE: Alan Webb 5000 meter Olympic Trial prediction thread 6/25/2012 7:48PM - in reply to Webbster8 Reply | Return to Index | Report Post
13:30 tonight 5th place; DNF or >13:50 in final once he is out of contention in order to save it for the 1500. Pulls up with 800 to go?
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