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|Ghost of a Murdered Jogger|
Is that a bad time for him? 10:04 is a pretty slow mile time for a guy named Bolt! Haha. Seriously though, I used to do 9:00 pace for 10k. I could probably go 10:00 pace in a half-mary.
-0.8 for Bolt is nothing. I still think he would have only run around 9.99-10.00 in still wind.. maybe 9.90-9.95 with a whole lot of help from the wind.
Bolt really should be running 9.70-9.75 right now with that sort of effort if he wants any realistic shot at a 9.5 in London ... forget 9.4, that's way out of the picture right now.
As i posted in another thread, he beat the world championship bronze medallist Collins by .15. Last year at world's, Blake beat Collins by .17.
This lines up with there earlier season performances where it looked on based on wind that Blake was .02 ahead of Bolt.
Rank Athlete Nation Result Reaction time
1 BOLT, Usain
2 COLLINS, Kim
3 PATTON, Darvis
4 CLARKE, Lerone
5 CHAMBERS, Dwain
6 WARNER, Justyn
7 VELEBA, Jan
DQ R 162.7
Read more: http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=4593939#ixzz1vuKmh6rG
you dont know what the hell your talking about.
According to this calculator
the wind only made a .04 difference. That means Bolt ran about 10.00 with no wind.
Now usually they have a slight tailwind.
Bolt earlier this year ran 9.82 with a 1.8 tailwind.
The calculator says that is worth a 9.90 with no wind.
Bolt's start was so atrocious here that easily could be the .10 difference. So Bolt just started worse here.
For having top notch stars, the 200m was slow (Wallace Spearmon 20.14), the 400m was slow (Sanya Richards Ross 50.65). Some sprint expert please chime in. It looks like when Bolt ran it 65 degree. See:
Does the cooler weather slow sprinters down that much?
After every race the sprinters were shaking their heads.
Vid is up:
Nothing to see here, except that his start wasn't good, and his drive phase wasn't nearly as good as in his 9.82, and he gripped as he desperately wanted to win the race to the line.
Whatever. Like I said on another thread comparing Blake and Bolt, Bolt is all over the place, and is just as capable of running 10.00 as 9.75
And about the cooler weather, a 10.00 in cool conditions with a headwind is unbelievable. I can't tell you how much the cold makes a difference. You lose your smoothness, and the track literally seems harder, there seems to be more impact, and more danger to the running.
So we have a 9.90 and 10.00 corrected from Bolt. After 2 races, Blake is at 9.86 and 9.98, Gatlin at 9.89 and 9.94, and Powell at 9.90 and 10.01
Bolt, Powell, and Blake all had 1 race in crap conditions, all run around 10-flat.
Gatlin's were run under better physical conditions, but his second was closer in time to his first, with lots of travel done quickly.
Remember, this is only his second race of the year. 10.00 corrected shouldn't be cause for any alarm, be it Bolt, Powell, Blake, or Gatlin.
Bolt is in no more trouble after this race than he was before this race.
The real story in this race was my man Collins!
Check out the guys he beat, including Clarke, Patton, and Chambers. If he can keep that up, he will be solidly in the B-list, which is truly awesome.
Also good news is that Warner from Canada beat Chambers.
It's always nice to see guys coming up, knocking the goon down the standings. I was looking forward to big things from Warner this year after his 6.5x 60m indoors--also from some of the US college guys who performed well in the 60m.
I thought that half the field was caught in the blocks because the starter held them WAY too long. It looked like Bolt expected to hear a second gun to call everyone back as late as 40 yards in the race.
|jump on the yohan bandwagon|
You heard it here first.
Yohan Blake is going to beat Bolt. He was faster at an earlier age. He is noticeably bigger right now, but should lean out as the season progresses. Yohan's progressions have been solid year to year and is primed to continue.
I think the Jamaicans are going to sweep the medals with Blake, Bolt and Carter and might even get the top 4 with Powell.
Bolt hasn't looked as relaxed as prior and remember, he was successful training for longer distances and then running shorter. I think he is feeling the pressure of running with Yohan on his heels(more like in the lead). He was dominant early and would cruise times most would dream about. Now he is racing hard every race and looking worse.
I still love Bolt's swag and attitude, but Blake is going to be superior by the time September rolls around.
The 4x100m record might get put in a range that will be untouchable for decades though.
Being that he ran 9.8x into the wind weeks ago says that this is just a bad race and it is never truely bad when you win the race. However, this says we probably will not see any 9.58s any times soon, but I suspect he is probably capable of a low 9.8x and probably a low 9.7x in a couple of weeks...he is still the man to beat.
Also, everyone else ran slow as well.
Wow... I cant even describe how shitty his start and drive phase were. Awfully executed race... that 1st half... srsly... Almost got an sub-10 though and into an headwind, still not the Freak we are used too, is he falling to the pressure? He didnt look as cofident in his race plan as he usually is.
I disagree. Nesta Carter doesn't have the mentality to perform at his best in Major finals...or trials. The Jamaican trio for Daegu will be -for me- Bolt, Blake and Asafa.
Nesta didn't qualify for Beijing, Berlin and Daegu. He ran in Daegu because Mullings was busted by IAAF. And in Daegu final...he simply jogged the entire race.
However...he has been consistent leading-off the 4x100 relay. So probably...he and Frater or Clarke could qualify for London as relay 4th man, or as alternates (6 spots for each nation relay).
And i'm not discounting some eventual "dark horses" (Dexter Lee, Jacques Harvey, Oshane Bailey, Nickel Ashmeade, Mario Forsythe, Kemar Bailey Cole, etc)
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