ventolin^3 wrote:
those estimates are for a "perfect race"
someone posted that his splits were 4'08/4'01 ???
if that is anywhere near true, then i'm sure he wouda been ~ 8'06/8'07 at even pace
take home message is that rupp is capable of
<12'50
( maybe even now )
No one replied to this so maybe you've answered the question for yourself but he ran 4:08.80 for the first 1618 meters and 4:00.92 for the last 1600, so what, something like 4:07.4/4:02.3 if you split on the mile marker?
I will bet any amount of money you want that Bronze will be slower than 26:30.00 Put up or shut up.
ventolin^3 wrote:
you have to read between the lines
kenyans pushed trials back to May so that their 3 can be in top shape again by august
they know they are traditionally vulnerable in last lap, so they have no choice but to run a team race with each of the 3 rotating after coupla laps leading & aiming for huge pbs to run the legs off the field
( this will be a tt, but the pacers you'll get are kiprop & komon as 2 !!! )
it won't work, but 1 of the 3 may get a bronze & i think 26'30 may not get a bronze !
I would agree. In fact, I doubt the gold will be that fast. However, if we are saying that at least five guys will be in 26:30 shape, then I would agree. And Rupp will be one of those. Question is, can he stay with a tactical race, where the pace is constantly accelerating, then backing off, and still have enough in the tank to close that last 800 extremely fast?
excoastranger wrote:
IAAF scoring tables are another way to look at it.
Lagat's 8:10.07 = 1253/1254 points.
Rupp's recent 3:57.10 = 1167/1168 points.
Rupp's 7:42.4 indoor 3,000m = 1186 points.
Rupp's 13:11.44 indoor 5,000 = 1220 points.
That 1220 points/13:11.44 is roughly equal to 3:53.16, 7:37.11 and 8:15.64.
Of course, Rupp continues to improve.
Now we have
Rupp's 8:09.72 indoor 2 mile = 1255 (~13:02 5000)
Lagat's 13:07.15 indoor 5,000 = 1236 ( ~8:13 2 mile)
Don't forget that he finished that indoor 2 mile run in 7:35.4 for the last 3000m
34.4 for the first 415 or so meters and last 3000m in 7:35.4
Now THAT was funny, and you may just be right!
What do you say Ventolin
$200 says bronze is slower than 26:30.00. Time to put your money where your mouth is.
Rupp was very impressive - Teg was the only American ever under 8:10 (outdoor) and for Galen to do what he did on the indoor track was awesome!!! What a great talent.
Am I living in the twilight zone? The Boston Marathon weather was terrible!
Des Linden: "The entire sport" has changed since she first started running Boston.
Matt Choi was drinking beer halfway through the Boston Marathon
Ryan Eiler, 3rd American man at Boston, almost out of nowhere
2024 College Track & Field Open Coaching Positions Discussion