Figure it's about time to start this thread. We lose quite a few top guys, but it should still be an interesting year. Olaf vs Hamline seems to be the clear match-up, but the Johnnies, maybe even Tommies might pull something. The individual title seems as up for grabs as ever. Any fast recruits coming in this year?
Olaf looks to be pretty strong, but Dobuol is way too inconsistent. If he can pull out a good race, Olaf will be tough to beat.
The Hamdogs are losing Bauer and Hull, which is no small loss, but their strength last year was in their depth. They have a lot of guys with the potential to step up this year, and they could end up being very strong as well.
You never know with the Johnnies, they seem to have the ability to pull guys out of no where, but the ball's in their court to show that they can compete for the title.
With the Tommies losing their 2 and 3 guys, they're going to have a tough time competing for the title. Sathre and Iverson are their obvious 1 and 2 guys, but there's a HUGE gap after Iverson before what is now their number 3 guy. Once again, you never know who will be able to step up and what freshman they'll bring in, but at this point in time they look to be pretty weak.
As for the individual crown, that's anybody's guess. Sathre was the top finishing non-senior last year, followed by Hamline's Devin Monson, but you never know when Ruon will have a great race. Franta finished 10th last year, and he definitely has the potential to compete.
were all pussies who like to suck ben sathres cock.
ust is gunna win miac!
I think the team that runs the most 100-mile weeks in a row without ever getting injured will win MIAC.
I made it to the single A state meet so I know what I'm talking about. I'm gonna train so hard this summer.
95% the Oles win it. Hamline losing their first and third guys from last year means they suck. Thomas losing second and thrid guys means they suck. Johnnies suck. Ruon wins individual, Oles win team.
Hard to not see the Oles winning it at this point, but the Hamdogs and Johnnies could be in contention. I have a hard time believing UST will progress much unless they bring in some miraculous recruits.
My Picks:
Olaf
Hamline
St. John's
St. Thomas
Carleton
Gustavus
Concordia
Bethel
Augsburg
Macalester
St. Mary's
Individual: Sathre at conference, Franta at regions
24 Stones Away From Happiness wrote:
Hard to not see the Oles winning it at this point, but the Hamdogs and Johnnies could be in contention. I have a hard time believing UST will progress much unless they bring in some miraculous recruits.
My Picks:
Olaf
Hamline
St. John's
St. Thomas
Carleton
Gustavus
Concordia
Bethel
Augsburg
Macalester
St. Mary's
Individual: Sathre at conference, Franta at regions
My picks:
My Picks:
Olaf
Hamline
St. John's
St. Thomas
Carleton
Gustavus
Concordia
Bethel
Augsburg
Macalester
St. Mary's
Those picks are pretty good. My only change is moving MAC up a little higher. All of the bottom 5 teams seem pretty weak on paper, but I'm sure two will pull something together to compete with Carleton and GAC.
Carleton is gonna be 5th in the MIAC, maybe higher.
The Johnnies don't have much of a 4/5 runner, at least from last year's MIAC results they didn't. I still believe in the Johnnies, so I'll say they'll take 3rd.
Augsburg, losing too many. From last year's results, they don't have much firepower. However, Schafer had a pretty sucessful track season and Rodriguez will start being more formidable.
UST, it comes down to who they bring in, and how well their 3/4/5 develop. And as much pain as this brings me to say, I think the Tommies will take 4th. The Johnnies have the advantage in depth.
As for the main event which seems to be developing between Olaf and Hamline, it's a toss up. Let's take a look at who's coming back and what time they had at conference last year:
Olaf:
8 Ruon Dobuol, Jr 26:15.0
12 Ben Wilson, Jr 26:33.3
19 Chris Massey, Fr 26:54.2
23 Jon Lambert, Jr 27:02.4
26 Adrian Swanson, Jr 27:06.4
Total: 88 points
Hamline:
6 Devin Monson, So 26:11.5
18 Ellis Richardson, So 26:53.8
20 Andy Johnson, Jr 26:54.8
28 Ian Campbell, Jr 27:12.3
30 Colin Rogers, Fr 27:19.2
Total: 102
So if that's all that mattered, we could decide who wins right now, but unfortunately (for Olaf) that's not how it works.
The things I could see changing:
Olaf
(+) Dobuol. If conditions are right, he's unstoppable. Plainly and simply seems like the most talented runner in the MIAC.
(-) Massey looked mediocre during track. Maybe he's more of an XC guy but I wasn't overwhelmed. He could have been hurt or something.
Hamline
(+) Ian Campbell will improve. Let us not forget how fast this kid was as a freshman.
(-) Monson has some big shoes to fill as that number 1 runner, but there aren't a ton of points to be made up there.
I still can't make a call on this one. Unfortunately, no one will be able to until after MIAC. (Lest we forget our fateful winning predictions prior to XC conference last year:
http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read.php?thread=3182437&page=4
)
It's going to be a crazy year with some INCREDIBLY talented teams. Good luck to all. (especially St. Mary's)
Massey had a strong indoor season then faded quite a bit outdoors. My guess is he was either injured or just burnt out. He'll be fine. Olaf will also have Gilbertson and we'll see if his really strong track season translates to cross country or not. Swanson also had a great track season and should finish higher this fall.
For Hamline, Colin Rogers was MIA during track so he must have been injured. Monson, Richardson, and Campbell will be a strong top 3, then they'll need Johnson to duplicate his performance from last year when he ran out of his mind. Deichert was running well for them in the first part of cross country last year and then ran some good times indoors but didn't race outdoors.
I predict Joe Macula will make a huge jump and suprise top fiVe fiinhsh at conference!
I agree that past the top 4 seem be one of the weakest showings in years. And even UST/SJU seem to be a little down. As for the Hamline/Olaf debate, I think Olaf is undeniably better on paper, but Schmaedeke has that amazing ability to get his athletes believing in themselves at conference. It's funny how you mention the tough loss of Jamison Hull from last year to this. How many people would have laughed at that statement on October 30th last year?
time to nail some trees!
Gladiator right now.
Chris Massey is going to run 2:26.31 at conference and take second.
Massey was caught on camera slaying children:
http://www.alleycatscratch.com/lotr/Nasty/Orc/Weta/Orc_8586_TornLon.jpg
Individuals:
1. Ruon Dobuol STO
2. Ben Sathre UST
3. Devin Monson HAM
4. Dustin Franta SJU
5. Tom Sederquist CU
6. Ian Campbell HAM
7. Jon Lambert STO
8. Ruairi Moynihan SJU
9. Tyler Iverson UST
10. Ellis Richardson HAM
11. Adrian Swanson STO
12. Ben Rodriguez AUG
13. Andy Johnson HAM
14. Ben Wilson STO
15. John Davis CAR
16. David Forster SJU
17. Chris Massey STO
18. Matt Schafer AUG
19. Colin Rogers HAM
20. Carl Biggers MAC
21. Andrew Clasen SJU
22. Ollie St. John MAC
23. Reid Gilbertson STO
24. Bobby Davis CAR
25. Anders Bowman GAC
with these predictions
St. Olaf 50
Hamline 51
It all depends on if Dobuol has an on or off race. Its going to be close. I wouldn't count St. Johns out of the running either.
not an ole wrote:
Chris Massey is going to run 2:26.31 at conference and take second.
1000m?
8k.
You heard it here first.
Chris Massey is going to set the world record by like 20 minutes.
