[Quote/]So what if he had run a 14:30 5k in 2007? Or better yet, what if he had DNF'd a 5K in 2007? Does that mean he is infinitely better at 10K now than in 2007? Look at the numbers dude. He beat Salazar's record by two seconds. A person who happens to have a lifetime best of 27:25.
He has improved his mile time by 3-4 seconds since HIGH SCHOOL!
Lets say he does get the AR at 10,000. That will be one of the most wacky bell curve of performance ever. Do you realize that Keflezghi, who has the AR of 27:13, has run 27:25 or better 5 times. This is typical of everybody who has run low 27's. Yet you believe that Rupp will get the record even though he has run 27:33, 27:36,27:40 in the past two years.[/Quote]
Typical? To use your own example:
As someone here has already pointed out wisely, Mebs PR before he ran 2713 was a wopping 40 SECONDS slower. And contrary to what you say, he has only run under 2730 two other times, both after setting the record. This all 3 years out of college. And for some perspective, his 2753 mark was itself a 40 second improvement from his 10k time two years previous of 2831.
Rupp ran 2815 out of high school for the junior record. Two years later he ran 2733 for the collegiate record. And now in 2009, two years after running 2733, will we see him improve by another 40 seconds? Doubtful, but the trend suggests he should be able to surpass Meb's record at the very least. I'm not saying any of this guarantees Rupp will improve by such a margin, just that it is not uncommon for this kind of improvement to occur (as you try to argue).
[Quote/]No. You must be letting your emotions get to you, because nothing has indicated his fitness has dramatically improved since his 27:33. 13:18 indoors? No. Winning NCAA titles? No. 3:57 mile? No. [/Quote]
Did 1330 suggest 2733? No, but that's still what he ran.
You're either a troll or an idiot (likely both). I could list off performances (every one of which has improved significantly since his 2733, besides conveniently, 2733, well duh he hasn't run a fast 10k yet) but I won't. And his mile time HAS improved 3-4 seconds over the past year, since up until this Winter, his PR was still over 4 minutes (and don't say he didn't try to get under 4 in his first four years of college. He ran 403 as recently as last Spring).