I recently tested a female athlete using the Kosmin and the result does not seem to be possible for her right now. I have seen two different "predictor tests" and wanted opinions on their validity, accuracy, and usefullness in predicting a 1500m performance. I have heard of the Kosmin being used often by known coaches and I can see it being a way to simply compare a particular athlete's fitness to their own previous test but how close does it come to actually predicting their current capability?
Test 1:
The athlete is required to run 2 sets of:
400 meters
45 seconds Recovery
800 meters
90 seconds Recovery
300 meters
3 minutes Recovery
The time for each run is recorded and the accumulated time for each set is recorded. The average time of these two accumulated times is the predicted 1500 meters time for the athlete.
Test 2 (Kosmin Test):
The athlete is required to run four controlled maximal efforts of 60 seconds with a diminishing recovery of 3 minutes, 2 minutes and 1 minute. The athlete commences their next run from the point where the previous run was completed. The total distance covered by the four runs is recorded.
Male 1500m Predicted Time = 500.52609 - (Total Distance x 0.162174)
Female 1500m Predicted Time =(500.52609 - (Total Distance x 0.162174)) + 10