Mens XC rankings came out again yesterday, and it got me wondering: how long has it been since we have seen the Big Four programs ranked so low as a whole? I'm talking about Wisconsin, Stanford, Colorado, and Arkansas. Besides Iowa State's two wins ('89 and '94), these four programs have won every national championship on the men's side for the past 23 years--back until '84. And in recent years their dominance has seemed even stronger, often finishing as four of the top five teams, and year after year being the only teams considered to even having a chance of winning it.
But the polls just came out and not one of them was ranked in the top four. They were 5,6,T-8, and 15. I wonder how many years it has been since this has happened. The preseason polls looked more familiar, ranking them at 1,2,5, and 6, but it has become apparent that not one of these programs is having the banner year that they have come to expect. It has probably been decades since we have seen a conference weekend where not even one of these teams is considered a lock for top three nationally.
And it surprises me that nobody is really talking about this. For the first time in over ten years, 2007 will likely see name besides one of the Big Four at the top of the results page at nationals. Big news? Definitely. And I know that the Oregon program has its own history, but the seeming monopoly the Big Four have had on national-level success may finally be broken. Is this year just a fluke, or are we seeing a new trend of parity emerge in NCAA cross country?