You're misunderstanding a concept in statistics. The odds of flipping a heads are always the same, yes. But: the odds of flipping a coin three times and never getting heads is .5^3 = .125.
In any given century your odds of not going extinct are .81. Then the odds of not going extinct for three consecutive centuries would be .81^3 = .53, assuming the probability didn't change (and it would).
athought wrote:
If you lie at the bottom of a pool you can blow air to form a perfectly round ring that will expand to the surface.
this is true. it looks really cool in real life.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=raYdPLnZ2F0Master Chef wrote:
You're misunderstanding a concept in statistics. The odds of flipping a heads are always the same, yes. But: the odds of flipping a coin three times and never getting heads is .5^3 = .125.
In any given century your odds of not going extinct are .81. Then the odds of not going extinct for three consecutive centuries would be .81^3 = .53, assuming the probability didn't change (and it would).
I don't thinks so. I agree with you that the probability would change - and have no idea whether the initial probability is even accurate. But by your math there will come a time some twenty or so centuries from now when the chance of survival is less than 1%. This may indeed be so, but not based on any initial conditions hypothesized at this time, and mathematically extrapolated into the future.
mr white wrote:
Oman's King is gay, but homosexuality is strictly outlawed in the country (as it is in most Muslim countries). Sultan Qaboos is the worlds first gay king in modern times.
There have been plenty of Queen's before him
DocLove wrote:
There have been plenty of Queen's before him
Don't leave us in suspense--plenty of Queen's WHAT before him?
And which Queen?
There's something unique about this number:
8,549,176,320
What is it ?
Aztec emperor Montezuma had a nephew, Cuitlahac, whose name meant "plenty of excrement."
Mohammed wrote:
The United States has never lost a war in which mules were used.
...or nukes.
DocLove wrote:
mr white wrote:Oman's King is gay, but homosexuality is strictly outlawed in the country (as it is in most Muslim countries). Sultan Qaboos is the worlds first gay king in modern times.
There have been plenty of Queen's before him
King James the First was gayer than a French horn. A popular English saying had it that "ELizabeth was king, now James is queen."
February 1865 is the only month in recorded history not to have a full moon.
In 1918, a worldwide flu (often called the Spanish Flu) pandemic killed 50-100 million people. It was the largest single medical disaster, killing more people in less than six months than the more famous Black Death did in a century, or AIDS has in over a quarter century. The second wave was deadlier than the first, beginning in the United States, in August. For example, in Philadelphia alone, during the week ending October 16, 1918, 4,597 people died. By November, it was virtually gone. 17 million people died in India alone. 1918.
Noddy The Berserker wrote:
When Alexander The Great marched triumphantly into Babylon he was read a passage/prophecy from the Bible about him by Persian holy men.
Now that's cool.
That would be interesting if the Bible was written before Alexander the Great was alive. However, Alexander predated Jesus (and therefore, certainly, the Bible) by about 350 years.
Leonardo Da Vinci invented the scissors.
watchout wrote:
Noddy The Berserker wrote:When Alexander The Great marched triumphantly into Babylon he was read a passage/prophecy from the Bible about him by Persian holy men.
Now that's cool.
That would be interesting if the Bible was written before Alexander the Great was alive. However, Alexander predated Jesus (and therefore, certainly, the Bible) by about 350 years.
You do know that he could be referring to parts of the Bible that were written before Jesus? A good bit of it was composed before both Jesus and Alexander the Great.
Concerned Citizen wrote:
watchout wrote:That would be interesting if the Bible was written before Alexander the Great was alive. However, Alexander predated Jesus (and therefore, certainly, the Bible) by about 350 years.
You do know that he could be referring to parts of the Bible that were written before Jesus? A good bit of it was composed before both Jesus and Alexander the Great.
That would have been the Torah, not the Bible.
watchout wrote:
Concerned Citizen wrote:You do know that he could be referring to parts of the Bible that were written before Jesus? A good bit of it was composed before both Jesus and Alexander the Great.
That would have been the Torah, not the Bible.
Sure, to a Jew it's the Torah, to a Christian it's the Bible.
Concerned Citizen wrote:
watchout wrote:That would have been the Torah, not the Bible.
Sure, to a Jew it's the Torah, to a Christian it's the Bible.
And since Christianity did not exist during the time of Alexander the Great... that only leaves one title for the compilation of scripture.
Many cough syrups contain Dextromethorphan, or DXM, which is a dissociative narcotic similar to Ketamine or PCP but inexplicably legal. You can in fact trip balls on cough syrup, but only if the sole active ingredient is DXM.
Concerned Citizen wrote:
DocLove wrote:There have been plenty of Queen's before him
King James the First was gayer than a French horn. A popular English saying had it that "ELizabeth was king, now James is queen."
King James wasn't in modern times.
http://mustikhan.newsvine.com/_news/2009/02/13/2430077-king-is-gay-but-homosexuality-outlawedBud, the Old Testament is more than just the Torah, which is the first five books. He was read a passage from Daniel.
Daniel is one of the books of the Bible, therefore I said "a passage/prophecy from the Bible". It doesn't matter that the Persian holy men didn't say "Hey Alexander we're going to read you a passage from The Bible cause you're such a badass", we today think of Daniel as part of the Bible.
You mad cause people don't read prophecies about you to you?