Let's reserve judgement until after the Olympic Trials. We will see if she's ready to go or not
Let's reserve judgement until after the Olympic Trials. We will see if she's ready to go or not
She's not running the 800 at the trials. We're talking about a great XC runner and steepler who comes down to do well in the 1500. I don't see her doing amazing things at 800. Just a sharpener. She'll contend well at the trials, though I think she'd be a better lock for the steeple team than the 1500 team.
4 seconds off her PR isn't a "sharpener" -- it's a cause for worry -- particularly because she hasn't raced well this entire season. Maybe (hopefully) she is training through these meets and will bring it at the OTs but I can't imagine that, when she planned out her spring pre-trials schedule, she put in for a horrific 800 and a couple of bad 1500s.
She didn't look that bad at Pre. She beat 2 of her top competitors, Rowbury and Pierce, quite easily.
Who do you think has a realistic chance to beat her in the trials, besides Uceny?
Now if we are talking about her chances in London, it is a very different matter.
xxxfff wrote:
She didn't look that bad at Pre. She beat 2 of her top competitors, Rowbury and Pierce, quite easily.
this. She ran well at Pre at 1500 - beat some very fast women. For whatever reason she didn't have the top end speed she had at daegu.
In the 800, well, who cares. She had a bad race, it happens. Probably benson wanted her to get in multiple race efforts in a week to simulate the OT and OG trials/final.
People have bad days and I doubt she would have altered her training for the trial to run an 800. A bad 800 performance will just give her a bit more motivation for the trials.
who cares...she has thatvsuper cool website, the high schoolers don't
while simpson is great, i think her world champs victory is still looked upon as a bit of a fluke.
a bronze would be a great success in london (i do think she'll qualify).
I was there in the press area after the race when she was interviewed. While she wasn't happy with her race, she wasn't as concerned about it as most of this thread's posters are. She said she ran her race the week before and followed it up the next day with a hard long run and she has yet to begin sharpening. She also said that while she didn't have the top-end speed for the 800 on Saturday, she felt like she could have held her race pace for a long time (hence her strength training). She was gracious and humble and understood that the 800 isn't her distance and that it was a learning event for her, not the end result.
Is it possible she will be the next Lasse Viren? Maybe she will peek just in time and run great like at worlds last year. I hope so because her racing this year has been pedestrian at best.
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It's this attitude that screws us Americans over. The prideful thought that we have to place super high in every race we enter or that we can't mess up. It's irrelevant whether she gets beat by two very good peaking high schoolers at this point in the season. She's a world champion. She's has tons of records. She's trying to get an olympic medal. To get an olympic medal, you don't worry about trivial things like winning a meet that you're simply using for some speed work a couple of months out. I've seen guys get their asses kicked in January at some big (pointless) college meet. They ran somewhere around 4:25 for the mile. Funny thing is when championship season came around, they were running 4:01.
You can only focus that peak mental and physical fitness for so long. .
The problem is that it's June -- not January. I agree that, in the big picture, it doesn't matter that she ran a horrible 800 last weekend, but, coupled with a bunch of other poor performances, it has to be concerning. If she comes in the top 3 at the OTs, then the 2:05 will be forgotten.
Pre would have been a decent performance but she got outkicked by a purely 800 runner. The reigning world champion shouldn't be getting outkicked by an 800 runner in late May in an Olympic year if everything is going according to plan.
Regarding who is better than she right now, clearly Uceny. Are Rowbury and CWT still the only other As? With CWT AWOL, her road to making the team is a lot easier.
bladerunner wrote:
Maybe she will peek just in time...
Peek at what? The Ethiopians in front of her on the homestretch at the Oly Games?
that's gotta hurt wrote:
Ajee Wilson and Amy Weissenbach comfortably beat her. Ouch.
Gold Medal in the 1500 in Daegu.
My crackpot theories wrote:
that's gotta hurt wrote:Ajee Wilson and Amy Weissenbach comfortably beat her. Ouch.
Gold Medal in the 1500 in Daegu.
The gold metal was a fluke - period.
She posted on her blog that the last time she ran 2:05 she followed up with the 3:59
illegitimate wrote:
bladerunner wrote:Maybe she will peek just in time...
Peek at what? The Ethiopians in front of her on the homestretch at the Oly Games?
don't make fun of us illegimates. I mean us illiterates.
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