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I would never say what Weissenbach and Wilson can't do becasue when you have a fast 400m PR and youth on your side, the possibilities are always there. But 1:58 is far fetched, most 12 grade female 800 runners can't match the performances from their junior year. If they run 2:01, that would be a good improvement, 2 flat would be great, 1:58 would be off the charts. Remember, Mary Decker and Kim Gallager were just as fast if not faster in the 400m and oether event and they never came close to 1:58 in H.S. If they ran 1:58, they would be among the best in the world and Nike would offer them a contract so large that the NCAA would become an afterthought.
...talk about unrealistic expectations.
Throw in Mary Cain and you have at least three with a chance for sub-2 (although Cain is probably the least likely). Cain qualified for Worlds Junior 1500 but was ineligible for being too young. Her former coach said her 2012 focus will be the 800.
What an incredible trio. All with a legit shot at 2:00. Let's compare:
Ajee Wilson, senior: 400: 54, 800: 2:00 split, 2:02.8, 1600: 4:43 (soph year), XC: 18 and 19 minute 5Ks, not national class.
Amy Weissenbach, senior: 400: 53 split, 800: 2:02.04, 1600: 4:50s (never gave it a good shot), XC: high 17 min range, not national class but very good.
Mary Cain, sophomore: 400: 55, 800: 2:03 split, 1500: 4:17, 3000: 9:28, XC: 17 min 5ks, 6th at NXN, easily the strongest in distances over 800
All have similar 53-55 400 speed...Wilson and Weissenbach seem to be pure 800 types (for now) and Cain is the strongest of the three (and youngest).
Going to be an exciting year.
Ajee Wilson: 1:59 / 4:40
Amy Weissenbach: 2:00 / 4:38
Mary Cain: 2:01 / 4:14, 4:32
I agree that Mary Cain should run some fantastic 800s this year. But after witnessing her incredible 17:40 #3 all time on the Bowdoin Park XC course I have no doubt that she is a miler! With 55 400 speed as a frosh and that type of strength she should own the mile/1500 records by the time she graduates. I wish her good health and much success!
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